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SNB & CHF

USD/CHF Technical Analysis: 61.8 percent Fibo. on seller’s radar

USD/CHF declines from the highest in nearly six weeks. 61.8% of Fibonacci retracement acts as immediate support. Monthly trend line resistance limits nearby upside. USD/CHF takes U-turn from one-month-old resistance line while trading around 0.9965 amid the initial trading session on Tuesday. Given the gradual pullback in the 14-bar Relative Strength Index (RSI) from the overbought conditions, prices might witness additional downside. In doing so, 61.8% Fibonacci...

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Swiss bankers fined over 1MDB dealings

Former Malaysian leader Najib Razak’s third corruption trial opened earlier this month. He faces multiple corruption charges linked to the looting of the 1MDB fund, a scandal that contributed to his election defeat last year. Two bankers who worked at Coutts private bank in Zurich were fined by the Swiss authorities for failing to report suspicious transactions linked to the sovereign wealth fund 1MDB scandal, it was reported on Sunday. The Sonntag Zeitung and Le...

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The $31 million watch and other Swiss price world records

Patek Philippe’s steel Grandmaster Chime comes with a reversible dial plate, which can be seen here A CHF640 ($645) bar of chocolate is a sign of either the end of civilisation or a healthy market economy. Whatever your view, Switzerland holds several world records when it comes to expensive goods. “As the hammer came down on $31 million (CHF30.6 million), the audience leapt as one to its feet, erupting in wild cheering and thunderous applause,” the Financial Times...

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Raising Rates to Fight Inflation, Report 24 Nov

Physics students study mechanical systems in which pulleys are massless and frictionless. Economics students study monetary systems in which rising prices are everywhere and always caused by rising quantity of currency. There is a similarity between this pair of assumptions. Both are facile. They oversimplify reality, and if one is not careful they can lead to spectacularly wrong conclusions. And there are two key differences. One, in physics, students know that...

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FX Daily, November 25: Hong Kong, China, and UK Election Hopes Fan Modest Risk-Taking

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.18% to 1.0997 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, November 25(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The combination of the victory of the pro-democracy movement in Hong Kong and an apparent concession by China on intellectual property rights is helping bolster risk appetites to start the week. Equities are higher. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng led Asia Pacific equities with a 1.5% gain,...

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USD/CHF Technical Analysis: Immediate support trendline, 200-day SMA limit nearby declines

USD/CHF pulls back from six week high. Falling trend line since early October, 200-day SMA keeps buyers hopeful. An upside beyond mid-October high could escalate pair’s run-up towards the previous month high. USD/CHF fails to hold the recent trend line breakout while declining to 0.9970 during early Monday. Even so, the quote stays beyond a multi-week-old falling support-line, at 0.9960, while also trading above 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) level of 0.9948. As...

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Currencies: do it with style

Our scenario of ongoing global growth moderation and elevated political uncertainties should, we believe, support defensive currencies. We consider a currency ‘defensive’ if it is likely to remain resilient should global risk appetite falter. Among major currencies, the US dollar, the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc are usually considered as defensive. Indeed, the structural current account surplus and large net foreign assets of both Japan and Switzerland make...

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Green light for ‘democratic piloting’ of Geneva Airport

(KEYSTONE/MARTIAL TREZZINI) Voters in Geneva have backed a local initiative calling for controlled development of the airport. According to initial results, 55.81% of voters said “yes” on Sunday to the constitutional initiative calling for the “democratic piloting of Geneva Airport”. Specifically, the initiativeexternal link is for tighter controls on the expansion of Geneva Airport, with noise and air pollution becoming a higher priority. Supporters of the...

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Darn, This Is Inconvenient: Apple Is Destroying the Planet to Maximize Profits

Stripmining the planet to maximize profits isn’t progressive or renewable–it’s just exploitive and destructive. How do we describe the finding that the planet’s most widely-owned super-corporation is destroying the planet to maximize its smartphone sales and profits? Shall we start with “inconvenient?” Yes, we’re talking about Apple, famous for coercing customers to upgrade their Apple phones and other gadgets if not annually then every couple years, as the most...

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FX Weekly Preview: Is Conventional Wisdom Too Optimistic?

There have been three general issues that the macro-fundamental picture has revolved around this year:  trade, growth, and Brexit.  On all three counts, conventional wisdom seems unduly optimistic, and this may have helped dampen volatility. A series of signals suggest that the US and China remain far apart in trade negotiations.  The US wants China to promise to increase agriculture imports from American farms to more than twice the 2017 peak.  Not only is China...

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