Marc Chandler, a political economist and currently managing partner at Bannockburn Global Forex, joined the podcast to provide his assessment of the coronavirus impact on the global economy. Listen to the full episode here: https://contrarianpod.com/content/podcasts/season2/assessing-economic-damage-from-coronavirus-crisis-and-plotting-a-way-forward/
Read More »FX Daily, May 14: Risk Appetites Wane
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.08% to 1.0504 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Risk appetites have been gradually waning this week. US equity losses mounted yesterday after Tuesday’s late sell-off. Asia Pacific equities were off, with many seeing at least 1.5% drops. Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is off a little more to double this week’s decline and leaves it in a...
Read More »Swiss Producer and Import Price Index in April 2020: -4.0 percent YoY, -1.3 percent MoM
The Producer Price Index (PPI) or officially named “Producer and Import Price Index” describes the changes in prices for producers and importers. For us it is interesting because it is used in the formula for the Real Effective Exchange Rate. When producers and importers profit on lower price changes when compared to other countries, then the Swiss Franc reduces its overvaluation. The Swiss PPI values of -6% in 2015 (see below), compared to -3% in Europe or -1% in...
Read More »Top Swiss firms pay respects to ‘formative’ business leader Fritz Gerber
Fritz Gerber worked for the Basel-based pharma giant for more than two decades, shaping Roche’s development into a global healthcare firm. (Keystone / Markus Stuecklin) Pharmaceutical giant Roche and Zurich Insurance have paid their respects to business executive Fritz Gerber, who passed away on Sunday at the age of 91. “Fritz Gerber was one of the most influential business leaders in Switzerland during a period of formative development for the country’s modern, open...
Read More »Coronavirus: the dangers of singing
© JaCrispy | Dreamstime.com As Switzerland reopens, the details around how SARS-CoV-2 spreads becomes more relevant to everyday life. Matthias Egger, the head of Switzerland’s Covid-19 task force, stresses the importance of continuing to follow social distancing and hygiene rules. However, the Swiss government’s recommended rule of staying two metres away from the next person might not be enough if the next person is singing. Infection requires a minimum amount of...
Read More »Miracles Aren’t Shovel-Ready
The monetary mouse. After years of Mario Draghi claiming everything under the sun available with the help of QE and the like, Christine Lagarde came in to the job talking a much different approach. Suddenly, chastened, Europe’s central bank needed assistance. So much for “do whatever it takes.” They did it – and it didn’t take. Lagarde’s outreach was simply an act of admitting reality. Having forecast an undercurrent of worldwide inflationary breakout (how...
Read More »Dollar Mixed as Markets Await Fresh Drivers
The virus news stream is mixed; the dollar continues to consolidate; US-China tensions continue to rise US Treasury wraps up its quarterly refunding; April budget statement is a harbinger of things to come; the next round of stimulus will be contentious We got some dovish BOE comments yesterday; UK continues to play Brexit hardball; UK data was slightly better than expected but awful nonetheless Japan reported March current account data; RBNZ expanded its QE program...
Read More »More Protectionism and Regulation Won’t Fix the Economy
In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and its attendant economic strains, some protectionists and anti-immigration ideologues are trying to take advantage of this opportunity to advance their nationalist agenda. They argue that if the United States had restricted international trade and immigration more thoroughly in the past, as President Trump had fought to achieve, the public health crisis could have been curtailed. Some are also arguing that imposing further...
Read More »6’000 CHF Dividenden im Jahr 2020 ??
6’000 CHF an Dividenden möchte ich im Jahr 2020 netto verdienen. Ob das machbar ist, möchte ich in diesem Beitrag genauer erläutern und analysieren. Im Jahr 2019 hatte ich 3’001.89 CHF an Dividenden netto erhalten, das möchte ich dieses Jahr verdoppeln. Verdopplung der Dividenden möglich? Ist es möglich, die Dividenden im vergleich zum Vorjahr zu verdoppeln? Ich glaube schon, aber nicht allein durch das Dividendenwachstum. Nein, vielmehr durch weitere...
Read More »FX Daily, May 13: Will Powell have any more Luck Pushing against Negative Rate Expectations in the US?
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.08% to 1.0521 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Another late sell-off in US shares, this one perhaps related to the sobering assessment by the leading medical adviser for the Trump Administration about the risks of opening too early, failed to deter investors in the Asia Pacific region. Although Japanese shares slipped, most other...
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