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SNB & CHF

Gold Reset To $10,000/oz Coming “By January 1, 2018” – Rickards

– Trump could be planning a radical “reboot” of the U.S. dollar– Currency reboot will see leading nations devalue their currencies against gold– New gold price would be nearly 8 times higher at $10,000/oz– Price based on mass exit of foreign governments and investors from the US Dollar– US total debt now over $80 Trillion – $20T national debt and $60T consumer debt– Monetary reboot or currency devaluation seen...

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Cool Video: Bloomberg Discussion of Opioid Epidemic and US Labor

I had the distinct of honor of being on Bloomberg television today with David Gura and Francine Lacqua. Dino Kos, formerly of the NY Fed and now at CLS, joined this segment as well. The broad topic was the Jackson Hole Symposium, and the challenge is fostering more dynamic growth. While short-term market participants are hoping for some clues into the Fed and ECB thinking, We are not convinced that our information set...

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Emerging Markets: What has Changed

Summary India Prime Minister Modi has started a cabinet shuffle. Freeport McMorAn ceded control of the world’s second largest copper mine to the Indonesian government. Central Bank of Russia took over Bank Otkritie, once Russia’s largest private bank. Kenya’s top court nullified last month’s presidential election. Fitch cut Qatar’s rating by one notch to AA- with negative outlook. Chile’s economic team saw a big...

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Moscow Rules (for ‘dollars’)

In Ian Fleming’s 1959 spy novel Goldfinger, he makes mention of the Moscow Rules. These were rules-of-thumb for clandestine agents working during the Cold War in the Soviet capital, a notoriously difficult assignment. Among the quips included in the catalog were, “everyone is potentially under opposition control” and “do not harass the opposition.” Fleming’s book added another, “Once is an accident. Twice is...

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FX Daily, September 01: Manufacturing PMIs, US Jobs, and Implications of Harvey

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.04% to 1.1418 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 01(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates As the markets head into the weekend, global equities are firmer, benchmark 10-year yields are mostly lower, and the dollar is consolidating after North American pared the greenback’s gains yesterday. Manufacturing PMIs from China, EMU,...

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Gold Surges 2.6 percent After Jackson Hole and N. Korean Missile

– Gold surges as N. Korea fires ballistic missile over Japan– Safe haven buying sees gold break out to 10-month high after Jackson Hole and rising North Korea risk of attack on Guam – South Korea’s air force dropped eight MK 84 bombs near Seoul;  simulating the destruction of North Korea’s leadership– Gold rises from $1,291 to $1,325; Silver surges 3.2% from $17.05 to $17.60– Volatility as seen in VIX surges as stocks...

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Bank lobby group sees hope for shrinking Swiss sector

Martin Hess believes Swiss banking fortunes can lift despite ongoing challenges (Keystone) - Click to enlarge The Swiss banking sector shrank once again last year in terms of banks, profits, share of offshore wealth under management and number of employees. The Swiss Bankers Association (SBA) nevertheless believes there are positives to be found amidst the bleak figures. “In an environment where banks have to cope...

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Cabinet Called on to Join EU’s no-roaming Charges Deal

Any deal would have significant implications for Switzerland’s largest telecom, Swisscom. (© KEYSTONE / GAETAN BALLY) The cantonal government of Graubünden has demanded that the cabinet sign Switzerland up to European Union rules abolishing roaming charges. Without such an agreement, the Swiss tourist industry is at a disadvantage, the Graubünden government said in a letter sent last week to Swiss president, Doris...

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Deja Vu

According to orthodox theory, if interest rates are falling because of term premiums then that equates to stimulus. Term premiums are what economists have invented so as to undertake Fisherian decomposition of interest rates (so that they can try to understand the bond market; as you might guess it doesn’t work any better). It is, they claim, the additional premium a bond investor demands so as to hold a security that...

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