New orders for durable goods, excluding transportation industries, rose 9.1% year-over-year (NSA) in January 2018. Shipments of the same were up 8.8%. These rates are in line with the acceleration that began in October 2017 coincident to the aftermath of hurricanes Harvey and Irma. In that way, they are somewhat misleading. The seasonally-adjusted data gives a better sense of the distortions created by those storms. New...
Read More »ECB policy is boosting the Bundesbank’s profits
This week the German Bundesbank published its 2017 annual report, which includes a number of interesting figures that are relevant to the broader (monetary) policy debate in the euro area. In particular, the Bundesbank provided details of the amount of securities held on its balance sheet for policy purposes, including QE, at the end of 2017, and the corresponding flows of income stemming from its asset purchases....
Read More »E-franc pipe dream fails to arouse Switzerland
In Switzerland, where cash is king, a national crypto currency has failed to turn heads (Keystone) - Click to enlarge Mounting calls for Switzerland to introduce a blockchain-based national cryptocurrency continue to fall on deaf ears at the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Romeo Lacher, chairman of the SIX Groupexternal link that runs the Swiss stock exchange, recently added his voice to the debate by advocating...
Read More »Gold Corridor From Dubai to China Sought By China
Gold corridor from Dubai to China sought by Chinese Gold & Silver Exchange Society New Asian gold trading corridor could boost demand for 1 kg gold bars Should increase turnover for yuan-denominated gold coins and bars – President Secure supplies of physical gold from Middle East and Asia for China China positioning itself as leading gold trading and owning nation by Karen Yeung in the SCMP The Chinese Gold &...
Read More »Emerging Markets: What Changed
Summary China plans to change its constitution to eliminate term limits for President Xi Jinping. Bank Indonesia Deputy Governor Perry Warjiyo was nominated by President Widodo to be the next Governor. Bank of Korea Governor Lee was reappointed by President Moon for a second term. Hungary ruling party candidate lost the mayoral vote in Hodmezovasarhely. S&P upgraded Russia to BBB- with stable outlook. South Africa...
Read More »Our Fragmented Labor Markets Defy Outdated Conventions
There are hundreds of extraordinarily diverse labor markets in the U.S. economy, and it takes a much more granulated approach to make any sense of this highly fragmented and dynamic marketplace. Conventional economists/media pundits typically view the labor market as monolithic, i.e. as one unified market. The reality is the labor market is highly fragmented. Thus it’s little wonder that conventional measures are giving...
Read More »Purchasing Power Parity or Nominal Exchange Rates?
Extracting Meaning from PPP “An alternative exchange rate – the purchasing power parity (PPP) conversion factor – is preferred because it reflects differences in price levels for both tradable and non-tradable goods and services and therefore provides a more meaningful comparison of real output.” – the World Bank Headquarters of the World Bank in Washington. - Click to enlarge We have it on good authority that the...
Read More »Charles Hugh Smith On The Current Conditions In The Financial Markets
Click here for the full transcript: http://financialrepressionauthority.com/2018/03/02/the-roundtable-insight-charles-hugh-smith-on-the-current-conditions-in-the-financial-markets/
Read More »Who will tackle Italy’s root problems?
Just ahead of Sunday’s general election, there is little sign of appetite among the leading parties to tackle the significant challenges that Italy faces. The Italian general election campaign is in its final stretch before voting on 4 March. The election will take place under the new electoral law (Rosatellum bis), which allocates 37% of parliamentary seats via the principle of “first-past-the-post” and 61% via...
Read More »FX Daily, March 02: Markets Unanchored?
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.18% to 1.1531 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 02(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The announcement of the US intention to impose tariffs on imported steel and aluminum on national security grounds has sent ripples through the capital markets. Yet there is certainly more going on here than that. The tariffs,...
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