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USD/CHF snaps two-day losing streak. Bearish candlestick formation, sustained trading below 200-day SMA favor further selling. Bullish MACD, 50-day SMA question the bears. USD/CHF registers fewer moves while trading around 0.9790 during the pre-European session on Tuesday. The daily chart forms a bearish candlestick pattern but bullish MACD and 50-day SMA could limit further declines. That said, the bears will be more powerful to aim for 0.9700 if breaking a 50-day...

Aktiendepots bei Schweizer Banken befinden sich auf Rekordniveau (Bild: shutterstock) Ende 2019 erreichte der Wertschriftenbestand in den Depots der Schweizer Banken laut den neuesten Daten der Schweizerischen Nationalbank SNB einen neuen Rekordstand von 6,72 Bio. Fr. Die Zunahme belief sich auf fast eine Bio. Franken. Genau waren es 961 Mrd. Fr. bzw. 16,7%. Dieses aussergewöhnliche Wachstum ist vor allem den haussierenden Aktienmärkten zu verdanken. So schnellte...

Unions are worried the vote would weaken protection for workers in Switzerland. (Keystone / Peter Klaunzer) Trade unions have come out against the initiative to scrap the freedom of movement agreement with the European Union, saying a “yes” vote would be “an attack on all workers”. Accepting the right-wing proposal would lead to a situation whereby “collective agreements and wage checks would be replaced by an unfettered competition of all against all,” Swiss Trade...

We certainly don’t have a crystal ball at the ready, and we can’t predict the future. The best we might hope is to entertain reasonable probabilities for it oftentimes derived from how we see the past. Which is just what statistics and econometrics attempt. Except, wherein they go wrong we don’t have to make their mistakes. For example, in the Fed’s main model ferbus there’s no way to input a global dollar shortage. Even if there was, to this statistical...

Given the exquisite precariousness of the global financial system and economy, hopes for a brief and mild downturn are wildly unrealistic. If we asked a panel of epidemiologists to imagine a virus optimized for rapid spread globally and high lethality, they’d likely include these characteristics: 1. Highly contagious, with an R0 of 3 or higher. 2. A novel virus, so there’s no immunity via previous exposure. 3. Those carrying the pathogen can infect others while...

How many times have you heard that higher taxes mean greater social welfare and economic development? The statement is backed up by a touch of popular wisdom: “More taxes, more public services.” Almost incontestable empirical evidence is also cited: with very few exceptions, the richest countries’ tax rates are very high, whereas taxes in poor countries are relatively low. This article analyzes the statistical relationships that suggest that high tax burdens...

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.15% to 1.0588 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 24(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The ring of containment of Covid-19 has grown from China. The new frontline is Japan, South Korea, Italy, and Iran. A lockdown of around 50k people near Milan and Austria blocking trains from Italy is scaring investors. Asian markets fell, but South Korea bore the brunt with a...

USD/CHF bounces off the short-term key support confluence comprising 21 and 50-day EMA as well as 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. 200-day EMA, 61.8% Fibonacci challenge buyers amid bullish MACD. USD/CHF registers 0.21% gains while taking the bids around 0.9805 during the early Monday. The pair recently reversed from 21/50-day EMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of October 2019 to January 2020 declines. Also supporting the pullback are bullish signals from MACD. That...

The SNB’s monetary policy is geared to counteracting upward pressure on the Swiss franc against the Euro.  (© Keystone / Ti-press / Alessandro Crinari) The Swiss National Bank’s negative interest rates, introduced five years ago, are having an increasingly significant economic and social impact. But despite criticism, the SNB does not want to remove them. It considers the measure necessary to stop the Swiss franc appreciating too much. Why were negative interest...

A common retort to the claim that in voluntary exchange both parties expect to become better off (or they wouldn’t do it) is that exchanges are seldom, if ever, a matter of horizontal, equal exchange of values. Instead, any such interaction between people is ultimately a matter of their exercising power over one another. The implication, and often explicitly stated conclusion, is that there is no voluntariness, that exploitation is always present, that one party...