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Tag Archives: China

China’s Back!

The Washington Post began this week by noting how the US economy seems to have lost its purported zip just when it needed that vitality the most. Never missing a chance to take a partisan swipe, of course, still there’s quite a lot of truth behind the charge. An actual economic boom produces cushion, enough of one that President Trump and his administration may have been counting on it when opting for full-blown shutdown. The coronavirus recession is exposing how...

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FX Daily, March 31: March Ends like a Lion, No Lamb in Sight

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.26% to 1.056 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 31(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The coronavirus plague upended the world in March. Equities are finishing the month on a firm note. Strong gains in the US yesterday and an unexpectedly strong Chinese PMI (yes, to be taken with the proverbial grain of salt) helped lift most Asia Pacific and European markets today....

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Was wir von China lernen können

Oder: Warum wir im derzeitigen Corona-Schock mal einen Blick auf die wirtschaftlichen Folgen in China werfen sollten. Trotz Maskenpflicht sind die Geschäfte wieder weitgehend geöffnet: Einkaufszentrum in Peking. Foto: Keystone Nachdem die meisten Wirtschaften der westlichen Welt wegen des Coronavirus in künstlichen Tiefschlaf versetzt wurden, haben die Menschen mehr Zeit. Das gilt auch für Politiker und Ökonomen, die uns mit Vorschlägen zur Bekämpfung der drohenden...

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Helikoptergeld als Folge des Coronavirus

Das Coronavirus bedroht die Wirtschaft. Deshalb werden Massnahmen diskutiert, die jüngst noch für extrem gehalten wurden. Geldschübe helfen der Wirtschaft nicht: Alltag in Zeiten des Coronavirus in Hongkong. Foto: Kin Cheung (Keystone) Die Sorgen um die Folgen des Coronavirus für die Weltkonjunktur nehmen mit jedem Tag weiter zu. Und nicht nur für die Heilung der Krankheit sind die vorhandenen Medikamente ungenügend, auch im ökonomischen Bereich fehlt es an wirksamen...

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FX Daily, February 26: Dramatic Investor Adjustment Continues

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.16% to 1.0601 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 26(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The warning by the US Center for Disease Control and Prevention that Americans should prepare for an outbreak of Covid-19 sent the S&P 500 tumbling to an 11-week low and the 10-year Treasury yield to a record low near 1.30%. The volatility of the S&P (VIX) jumped to its...

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FX Daily, February 25: Capital Markets Remain Fragile after Yesterday’s Bloodletting

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.27% to 1.0592 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 25(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Yesterday’s bloodletting in global equities has calmed, but investors remain on edge. Despite all the concerns that the markets were under-appreciating the implications of the new coronavirus, there is a sense that yesterday’s moves were in excess.  Japanese markets, which were...

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FX Daily, February 24: Stocks Slammed and Yields Drop as Virus Containment Fails

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.15% to 1.0588 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 24(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The ring of containment of Covid-19 has grown from China. The new frontline is Japan, South Korea, Italy, and Iran. A lockdown of around 50k people near Milan and Austria blocking trains from Italy is scaring investors. Asian markets fell, but South Korea bore the brunt with a...

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FX Weekly Preview: Sources of Imbalance and the Pushback Against New Divergence

The US dollar’s surge alongside gold has eclipsed the equity market rally as the key development in the capital markets. Even the traditional seemingly safe-haven yen was no match for the greenback. The dollar appeared to have been rolling over in Q4 19, as the sentiment surveys in Europe improved, Japanese officials seemingly thought the economy could withstand a sales tax increase, and data suggested the Chinese economy was gaining some traction. However, 2020 has...

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Time Again For Triple Digit Dollar

Being a member of the institutional “elite” means never having to say you’re sorry; or even admit that you have no idea what you are doing. For Christine Lagarde, Mario Draghi’s retirement from the European Central Bank could not have come at a more opportune moment. Fresh off the Argentina debacle, she failed herself upward to an even better gig. Lagarde had staked a lot on the organization’s largest ever rescue plan. It was a show of force meant to shore up...

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FX Daily, February 19: Investors’ Confidence Snaps Back

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.08% to 1.0617 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 19(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: After shunning risk yesterday, investors re-entered the fray today, and the animal spirits returned. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index snapped a four-day slide, and China’s markets were among the few losers in the region today. Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 recovered yesterday’s losses in...

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