Friday , November 15 2024
Home / SNB & CHF / Gains Are Unreal, Losses Are Real

Gains Are Unreal, Losses Are Real

Summary:
Why would anyone sell when further gains are guaranteed? Because the gains are unreal but the losses are real. When markets are soaring and your portfolio is rocketing higher, the gains seem unreal. Did I really make that much in one day, week, month? Wow! With the gains higher every time you look, it would be foolish to sell because look at the flood of media reports on “the Roaring 20s” that are predicted with such certitude that it’s essentially guaranteed, the reflation that’s lifting all boats globally, the Federal Reserve printing trillions to further inflate the market, and the millions of new traders scooping fantastic gains. Why would anyone be idiotic enough to sell when the Bull Market is just getting started? Indeed. Sure, you sold to book those crazy

Topics:
Charles Hugh Smith considers the following as important: , , ,

This could be interesting, too:

Frank Shostak writes Assumptions in Economics and in the Real World

Conor Sanderson writes The Betrayal of Free Speech: Elon Musk Buckles to Government Censorship, Again

Nachrichten Ticker - www.finanzen.ch writes Bitcoin erstmals über 80.000 US-Dollar

Nachrichten Ticker - www.finanzen.ch writes Kraken kündigt eigene Blockchain ‘Ink’ an – Neue Ära für den Krypto-Markt?

Why would anyone sell when further gains are guaranteed? Because the gains are unreal but the losses are real. When markets are soaring and your portfolio is rocketing higher, the gains seem unreal. Did I really make that much in one day, week, month? Wow! With the gains higher every time you look, it would be foolish to sell because look at the flood of media reports on “the Roaring 20s” that are predicted with such certitude that it’s essentially guaranteed, the reflation that’s lifting all boats globally, the Federal Reserve printing trillions to further inflate the market, and the millions of new traders scooping fantastic gains.

Why would anyone be idiotic enough to sell when the Bull Market is just getting started? Indeed. Sure, you sold to book those crazy gains in a couple of speculative frenzies, but you bought right back in to grab the next booster rocket higher.

Gains Are Unreal, Losses Are RealThere is only one thing more painful than watching the market continue higher after you sold: and that is holding on for the inevitable bounce and losing your entire profit.

There is only one thing more painful than holding on for the inevitable bounce and losing your entire profit: and that is continuing to hold because you’re so sure the market will bounce big-time that you lose much or most of your capital.

There is only one thing more painful than being so sure the market will bounce big-time that you lose much or most of your capital: and that’s refusing to accept your losses and hanging on until you’ve lost all your capital.

There is only one thing more painful than refusing to accept your losses and hanging on until you’ve lost all your capital: and that is realizing you still owe the government an enormous sum for the capital gains you reaped on the way up but no longer have the money to pay.

Why would anyone sell when further gains are guaranteed? Because the gains are unreal but the losses are real. Put another way: the gains aren’t really yours until you sell and pocket them in cash. (Best to pay your estimated taxes the day after you book the gains, as a third of those gains aren’t really yours, they belong to the government.)

Gains are unreal, losses are real.


Tags: ,

Gains Are Unreal, Losses Are RealDon’t miss posts anymore!
Subscribe to our newsletter!

Charles Hugh Smith
At readers' request, I've prepared a biography. I am not confident this is the right length or has the desired information; the whole project veers uncomfortably close to PR. On the other hand, who wants to read a boring bio? I am reminded of the "Peanuts" comic character Lucy, who once issued this terse biographical summary: "A man was born, he lived, he died." All undoubtedly true, but somewhat lacking in narrative.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *