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FX Daily, September 15: Short Note Ahead of the Weekend

(Sporadic updates continue as the first of two-week business trip winds down) Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.03% to 1.1481 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 15(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates North Korea missile launch failed to have much impact in the capital markets. The missile apparently flew the furthest yet, demonstrating its ability to hit...

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Oil Rich Venezuela Stops Accepting Dollars

President Maduro ” Venezuela will create a basket of currencies to free us from the dollar,” Oil traders ordered to stop accepting U.S. dollar in exchange for crude oil Order comes following calls from Russia and China to find alternatives to current reserve system U.S. Dollar accounts for two-thirds of global trade Venezuela has over ten-times more oil than United States Super powers are gradually turning to gold to...

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Possible buyer for Air Berlin Swiss subsidiary

Belair is due to stop operations at the end of October (archive picture) (Keystone) - Click to enlarge A potential buyer has been found for Belair, the Swiss subsidiary of insolvent airline Air Berlin, according to Swiss media reports which cite an internal communication to Belair employees. Belair management wrote that there was at least one offer for the airline, according to the az Nordwestschweiz...

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Is the High Cost of Housing Crushing Wages?

The authors’ thesis doesn’t explain the 47-year downtrend of labor’s share of the economy. A provocative essay, Don’t Blame the Robots, makes the bold claim that “Housing Prices and Market Power Explain Wage Stagnation.” (Foreign Affairs) In other words, the stagnation of the bottom 95% of wages isn’t caused by automation or offshoring, but by the crushingly high cost of housing: “Yet recent academic work in...

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COT Report: Black (Crude) and Blue (UST’s)

Over the past month, crude prices have been pinned in a range $50 to the high side and ~$46 at the low. In the futures market, the price of crude is usually set by the money managers (how net long they shift). As discussed before, there have been notable exceptions to this paradigm including some big ones this year. It was earlier in February when money managers piled in to WTI longs, apparently expecting better things...

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FX Daily, September 14: New Trump Tactics Help Greenback and Rates

In the face of much cynicism and pessimism about the outlook for the Trump Administration’s agenda, we have repeatedly pointed out the resilience of the system of checks and balances. Many of the more extreme positions have been tempered, either on their own accord, such as naming China a currency manipulator or pulling out of NAFTA or KORUS, or the judiciary branch, such as on immigration curbs, or the legislative...

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Swiss Life under scrutiny of US authorities for tax evasion

Swiss Life denies it has flouted US regulations - Click to enlarge Insurance firm Swiss Life has announced that it has been approached by the US Department of Justice (DOJ) regarding its cross-border business with US clients. After going after Swiss banks with a vengeance for abetting tax evasion, it appears that it is now the turn of the Swiss insurance industry to attract unfavourable attention from the DOJ. Products...

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Swiss mobile roaming charges – a glimmer of hope

© Ocusfocus | Dreamstime Switzerland’s federal council, the country’s seven-person executive or cabinet, has come up with a plan to cut those exorbitant mobile roaming phone bills that many of us return home to after trips abroad, an experience which hurts even more now roaming charges have been eliminated for EU residents. The roaming proposal is part of a wide-ranging revision to Switzerland’s telecommunications laws,...

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British People Suddenly Stopped Buying Cars

 – British people suddenly stopped buying cars – Massive debt including car loans, very low household savings – Brexit and decline in sterling and consumer confidence impacts – New cars being bought on PCP by people who could not normally afford them – UK car business has ‘exactly the same problems’ as the mortgage market 10 years ago, according to Morgan Stanley – Bank of England is investigating to make sure UK banks...

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Canada’s RHINO(s)

The Bank of Canada “raised rates” again today, this time surprising markets and economists who were expecting more distance between the first and second policy adjustments. The central bank paid typical lip service to being data dependent. It has a vested interest if you, as any Canadian reader, believe that to be a fact. But what we really find in Canada is what we find everywhere else. The end of the “rising dollar”...

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