At the news conference of the Swiss National Bank, Andréa Maechler discusses the current situation of financial markets and the negative interest environment. She explains the recent Swiss experience with negative interest rates. Negative rates have the desired effect: It makes holding money on Swiss bank accounts less attractive. We see different issues with this explanation: Negative rates make only holding money on...
Read More »News conference Swiss National Bank 2016, Fritz Zurbrügg
Fritz Zurbrügg, Vice Chairman of the Governing Board of the Swiss National Bank News conference of the Swiss National Bank, Berne, 16.06.2016 Complete text: PDF(74 KB) Major Points: UBS and Credit Suisse: Capital Situation improved further: fully compliant with the requirements of the current Swiss ‘too big to fail’ regulations (TBTF1) for 2019.The regulation until 2019, however is only temporary. From 2020...
Read More »News conference Swiss National Bank, Thomas Jordan
Thomas Jordan, Chairman of the Governing Board of the Swiss National Bank News conference of the Swiss National Bank, Berne, 16.06.2016 Complete text: PDF (96 KB) Major points: SNB rate remains –0.75% and the target range for the three-month Libor unchanged at between –1.25% and –0.25%. Negative interest helps to maintain the interest rate differential between the Swiss franc and other currencies, hence...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: Four Central Bank Meetings and More
A couple of weeks ago, the four central banks that meet in the coming days were thought to be a big deal. Numerous Federal Reserve officials were preparing the market for a summer hike. Risks of a new downturn in Japan spurred speculation that BOJ would ease policy. On the other hand, the neither the Bank of England nor the Swiss National Bank were expected to move ahead of the UK referendum on June 23. Besides...
Read More »Swiss Reserves: Not what They Seem
This posts shows again the stupidity of the financial media, that mixes up assets and liabilities for central banks.SNB FX reserves are assets. They are in different foreign currencies and subject to the valuation effect of these currencies.Our weekly sight deposits report show the liabilities. They are measured in Swiss franc and therefore not subject to valuation effects. They are the only way to measure...
Read More »Geldreform — Weltreform
Urs Birchler Am Dienstagabend gab ich an der Uni Zürich meine Abschiedsvorlesung. Inhalt: Geldreformen, die gleichzeitig als Weltreformen gedacht waren oder sind: Corvaja’s Bankokratie, Gesell’s Freiwirtschaft, die Vollgeldinitiative, der Euro. Fazit: Der Versuch, über das Geld die Welt zu erneuern, ist zum Scheitern verurteilt. Im schlimmsten Fall gehen dabei sowohl das Geld kaputt, als auch die angestrebte neue Welt. Bestes Beispiel: der Euro. Der Versuch, Europa via Gemeinschaftswährung...
Read More »As Carl Icahn Was Selling Apple, This Central Bank Was Furiously Buying
On April 28, the catalyst the sent the stock price of AAPL to its post-August 25 frash crash lows, and launched a tremor not only within the Nasdaq but the broader market, was news that after several years of being AAPL’s biggest cheerleader, even coming up with price targets north of $200, Carl Icahn had suddenly cooled on the China-focused growth company, and had liquidated his entire stake. But as Icahn was selling, or just before as we don’t know precisely when Icahn, who has since...
Read More »The Twilight Of The Gods (aka Central Bankers)
The current financial market volatility increasingly reflects loss of faith in policy makers. Celebrity central bankers are learning that they must constantly produce new miracles for their followers. First, the measures implemented since 2009 created an artificial stability and an asset price boom in many markets. But the absolute rate of GDP expansion and level of price changes is inadequate to solve global debt problems. Second, new initiatives seem the risky response of clever...
Read More »SNB Increased Equities Share from 18 to 20% with Purchases
The SNB increased the equities share from 18% to 20% in Q1/2016. Purchases focused on US equities.It raised holdings in U.S. Equities 32 percent in the first Q1 2016, from $41.3 billion at the end of last year. The S&P 500 rose 0.8 percent over that period. This makes obvious that the central bank goes higher risk. The first risk is the risk on equities, the second one is the dollar that is currently quite expensive. Main Positions: Swiss National Bank, 2007-2013 Still in 2009, the...
Read More »Gold, Bonds and Negative Interest Rates Give SNB a Q1 profit
The Swiss National Bank has achieved a profit of 5.7 billion CHF in Q1/2016. The total yield on assets per annum was 3.4%.The main contribution comes from gold with price change of 10% in this quarter, hence a total yield of 48%.The total yield on debt was positive with +0.2% thanks to negative interest rates.The deflationary environment let to rising bond prices. Bonds, make up 74% of the SNB portfolio. Here the details of our calculation: Position Total Positionin bn CHF % of Total...
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