SNB & CHF

China reopening, media rather than money blitz. Bank lending has been hyped though as usual the rest of the story - the important parts - get left out for the narrative. The reopening impulse just isn't there, and we can verify that it isn't just by doing the full money math. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP https://www.eurodollar.university https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com https://www.PortfolioShield.net RealClearMarkets...

If the dollar has lost 97% of its value, then why had the world prospered so much during that time when it did? The answer provides tremendous insight into several fallacies about the global currency arrangement, even a window into current age of so much "sudden" and "unexpected" geopolitical balloon-based instability. Eurodollar University's Weekly Conversation, featuring Steve Van Metre...

Is this time different? We better hope so. If the tiny inversion in Germany which started it all was already unprecedented, and what followed not long after was alarming, then what do we call this? Certainty, or very close to it. This is looking truly grim and not just for the Germans. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Is a recession imminent? The signal of the yield curve https://www.nbb.be/doc/oc/repec/ecrart/ecorevi2019_h4.pdf Twitter:...

Interest rate Thunderdome. What appears to be the short end versus the long end, or the longer-term rates against the Fed, the continued surge in layoffs once again shows it is actually the Fed vs. the Fed. Two Jays enter, one Jay leaves. And we know which one. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP https://www.eurodollar.university https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com https://www.PortfolioShield.net RealClearMarkets Essays:...

Resurgent gasoline prices have some thinking about "transitory disinflation." That the improvement in consumer price pressures won't last because of the same supply factors which drove those in the first place. Supply is the wrong focus, however, as a number of indications point instead to radically weakening demand. Not just for gasoline. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP https://www.eurodollar.university...

MASSIVE Fall In Gold and Silver Price Incoming - Keith Weiner | Gold Silver Price Forecast #gold #silver #fed #financedaily -------------- ⬇ Inspired By: ⬇ Financial Crisis Is Already Here, Don’t Let the Market Exuberance Fool You Warns Lynette Zang https://youtu.be/5-tnozmGa54 Fed’s Credibility is Destroyed, Why Cash, Gold and Silver Will Be Best Lifeline | Outlook 2022 https://youtu.be/WMZDdT0Z9pY Silver spikes through $27 level in early trading, up $.83...

Lending standards are already being tightened in a way we don't see outside of serious recession. Loan officers are battening down the hatches preparing for the financial storm which wouldn't be coming if the economy was heading for a soft landing. As credit dries up, the job cuts get amped up. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis SLOOS https://www.federalreserve.gov/data/sloos/sloos-202301.htm April 2008 FOMC Transcript...

Livia Leu, Switzerland's chief negotiator with the European Union, has been talking about the challenges ahead in 2023, especially when it comes to the free movement of people. For about 20 years, Switzerland has regulated its relations with the EU in bilateral agreements, an alternative to EU membership that it would like to maintain. But the rules governing EU market access have now changed so the bilaterals need updating. The EU and Switzerland are discussing how to package their...

With its second federal constitution of 1874, Switzerland was suddenly catapulted to the forefront of democracy development worldwide. No canton had voted so strongly in favour of radical change as Schaffhausen. Adopting the new federal constitution marked a milestone in Swiss history. It brought about several important improvements, making up for just about everything the original constitution lacked. Many of these improvements would not have happened without what became known as the...

Even after Friday's "stellar" payrolls in the US, markets worldwide cling to extreme levels of inversion which means radical pessimism. But why? If there is a worst case set of scenarios, these are what they would be. It's not necessarily a crash, but what more likely what comes after. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Stock & Watson; Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why? https://www.nber.org/papers/w9127 Bernanke; The Great Moderation...