SNB & CHF

Switzerland is made up of 26 cantons – technically six are half cantons1 – each with its own distinct taxes, education system, hospitals and government. © Anna Hristova | Dreamstime.com Land area varies significantly, from 37 sq/km Basel-Stadt to 7,105 sq/km Graubünden. Population is also highly varied, from tiny Appenzell Innerrhoden (16k) up to Zurich with nearly 1.5 million. Unsurprisingly, the range of economic...

Economic Reports Employment We received several employment related reports in the first two weeks of the year. The rate of growth in employment has been slowing for some time – slowly – and these reports continue that trend. The JOLTS report showed a drop in job openings, hires and quits. The Fed has been talking about a tight labor market but this report peaked last July so that may not be as much a concern as they...

According to Le Matin, economists at Swiss Life think the rise of the Swiss franc could be over and predict it will weaken to 1.22 to the euro by the end of the year. © Valeriya Potapova _ Dreamstime.com At the same time they point to risks that could send the currency in the opposite direction, such as the election in Italy, Brexit negotiations and uncertainty surrounding government in Germany. The Swiss National...

Staying on good terms with parents can pay off – increasingly so (Keystone) The Swiss are passing on more inheritance wealth to family, friends and other beneficiaries than ever before – the CHF63 billion ($65 billion) bequeathed in 2015 is double that of 20 years ago, according to the NZZ am Sonntag newspaper. The Office for Work and Social Politics Studies estimates than an additional sum of between CHF16 billion and...

London Property Crash Looms As Prices Drop To 2 1/2 Year Low – London homeowners cut property prices by another 1.4% in January – Average price for a London house dropped by £22,000 to £600,926 in 2017– Takes 78 days to sell a home on average, the highest level since 2012– London’s downtrend continues after 2017 performance as worst UK housing market– UK regional house prices begin to falter as house prices climb slows...

Central banks have guaranteed a bubble collapse is the only possible output of the system they’ve created. The psychology of blowoff tops in asset bubbles is fascinating: let’s start with the first requirement of a move qualifying as a blowoff top, which is the vast majority of participants deny the move is a blowoff top. Exhibit 1: a chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJ-30): Is there any other description of...

It is not easy to recall another week in which there were so many potential changes to the broad investment climate. The relatively light economic calendar in the week ahead may allow investors to continue to ruminate about some of those developments. Here we provide thumbnail assessments of the main drivers. China The PBOC modified the way the reference rate is set.  Currencies are allowed to trade in a band around...

Stock Markets EM FX continues to rally as the dollar remains on its back foot. With no obvious drivers this week that might help the dollar, we believe EM FX can extend the recent gains. Still, we continue to advise caution when investing in EM, as differentiation should again become evident as idiosyncratic risks remain in play. Stock Markets Emerging Markets, January 10 Source: economist.com - Click to enlarge...

One of the world’s largest bitcoin miners is setting up a hub for European operations in Switzerland, a person familiar with company has confirmed to swissinfo.ch. The Chinese firm Bitmain Technologies is setting up in Zug just as the Chinese authorities move to shut down cryptocurrency miners. Bitmain Technologies builds and supplies machines for bitcoin mining and runs its super-scale mine in China. The company set...

In 2016, around 273,000 people, 3.3% of the population, received welfare in Switzerland. The number (not the rate) was 2.9% higher than the year before and 15.7% higher than 5 years earlier when the rate was 3.0%. Neuchâtel, the canton with the highest rate of beneficiaries © Olga Demchishina | Dreamstime.com - Click to enlarge Rates of those receiving government aid varied significantly by canton, ranging from 0.8% in...