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FX Daily, May 03: Respite to Dollar Short Squeeze

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.03% to 1.1944 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 03(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The Australian dollar is higher for a second session. It has been helped today by stronger than expected data in the form of a larger than expected March trade surplus (A$1.57 bln vs. expectations for A$865 mln) and building permits up...

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Where next for oil prices?

On 19 April, the price of a barrel of oil reached USD69.56 for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and reached USD75.27 for Brent, today, the highest price since 2014. Since 9 April, oil prices have been significantly above their longterm fundamental equilibrium value. Three factors explain what has happened: Geopolitics. Between Saudi Arabia’s Prince Mohammed bin Salman visit to the US at end March, new US sanctions against...

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Turkey and Russia Highlight Gold’s Role as a Strategically Important Asset

On 17 April, Turkish news publication Ahval published a report stating that during 2017, Turkey withdrew 26.8 tonnes of gold that it had stored in the vaults of the New York Federal Reserve, and moved this gold under the custodianship of the Bank of England and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). The source of the Ahval report was a Turkish language article from the popular Hürriyet newspaper in Turkey....

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Konjunktur, Geldpolitik und eine riesige Bilanzsumme

Die Schweizer Konjunktur brummt wie schon lange nicht mehr. Vor allem zeigt der kürzlich publizierte Bericht der Seco-Expertengruppe, dass die Erholung auf breiter industrieller Basis stattfindet. Der Frankenschock von 2015 ist definitiv überwunden (Quelle). Foto: Peter Klaunzer (Keystone ) - Click to enlarge Belässt die Bilanzsumme auf Rekordniveau: Thomas Jordan, Präsident der SNB, wird nach seiner Rede von Jean...

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Swiss Retail Sales, March: -1.2 Percent Nominal and +0.1 Percent Real

The Used Goods Question Retail sales in several countries like Germany, Japan and Switzerland continue to fall or they remain steady for years. In the United States they have strongly risen recently. We should remind readers, that used goods sold via Ebay or similar, are not contained in this statistics. Still they create economic value for the purchases. By mentality, Swiss, Germans or Japanese pay more attention so...

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Swiss Consumers remain optimistic

Bern, 02.05.2018 – Although Swiss consumer sentiment has not shown any further improvement, it remains far above average this April, with the index coming in at 2 points. After a sharp rise in January, consumers’ expectations regarding economic growth have returned to the level seen in late 2017. Consumers remain optimistic about the labour market trend. About their purchasing power they are more circumspect than they...

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Some Swiss train fares to fall in June

This week, ch-direct, an association of public transport providers that sets ticket prices, announced there would be no ticket price rises in 2019. Instead the prices of some tickets will fall slightly on 1 June 2018. © Sergiomonti | Dreamstime.com - Click to enlarge The price small cuts on standard fares in June relate to the shift from 8.0% to 7.7% VAT at the beginning of the year. Inflation this year is forecast at...

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FX Daily, May 02: Confident Fed Key to New Found Respect for the Dollar

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.03% to 1.1944 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 02(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates There is a brief respite in the powerful short squeeze that has fueled the dollar’s dramatic recovery. The greenback which was nearly friendless a month ago now has many suitors. It is higher on the year against all the major currencies but...

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House View, April 2018

Pictet Wealth Management’s latest positioning across asset classes and investment themes. Asset Allocation While macroeconomic and corporate fundamentals still favour risk assets, challenges have been steadily increasing and a lot of good news is already priced into valuations. We sold part of our equity overweight during the early March rally. Even though we have become more prudent about equities’ short-term...

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London House Prices See Fastest Quarterly Fall Since 2009 Crisis

– London house prices fell by 3.2% in the first quarter – Halifax – Brexit, financial and geo-political uncertainty lead to falls– Excluding sale of seven £10m-plus houses in London, prices were down 3.4% in the year– UK house prices climb by just 0.4% in April, the slowest increase since 2008 for same period– Sales transactions fall by 19% and asking versus selling prices show turning into buyers’ market– Homeowner or...

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