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Tag Archives: newsletter

Merkel, European Autonomy, and the ECB

Angela Merkel - Click to enlarge Merkel has again shown herself to be more wily than most. While pundits, investors, and politicians anticipated she would push hard for a German to replace Draghi as ECB President when his term ends next October. After all, it is German’s turn at the helm, and its interests were ridden roughshod over by the extraordinary and prolonged monetary policy. However, when one steps back and...

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Global PMI’s Hang In There And That’s The Bad News

At this particular juncture eight months into 2018, the only thing that will help is abrupt and serious acceleration. On this side of May 29, it is way past time for it to get real. The global economy either synchronizes in a major, unambiguous breakout or markets retrench even more. That’s been the basis of this thing from Day 1; or, more accurately, Day 3.01. Reflation #3 wasn’t really any different in type from...

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Euro Area PMIs: Still Little Good News Below the Surface

We see little evidence of a rebound in business taking shape, reinforcing our revised 2018 GDP growth forecast. Although euro area flash PMI indices were roughly in line with expectations in August, some details were less positive than the headline numbers, suggesting that downside risks have not yet disappeared. True, at face value, the small rise in the euro area composite PMI index, from 54.3 in July to 54.4 in...

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FX Daily, August 24: Greenback Marks Time Ahead of Powell

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.33% at 1.1415. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 24(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is paring some of yesterday’s gains in quiet turnover ahead of Fed Chief Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole, the week’s last highlight. The euro and sterling are trading inside yesterday’s ranges, which the dollar has extended its...

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The secrets of the new 200 Swiss franc note

Switzerland began updating its notes starting with the 50 franc note in April 2016. It then issued the new 20 franc note in May 2017, and the new 10 in October 2017. The newest note to grace Swiss wallets, pockets and purses is the 200 franc note, which was launched on 22 August 2018. - Click to enlarge Switzerland’s ninth banknote series moves away from the depiction of well-known personalities instead depicting...

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Swiss back at the top in small arms trade transparency

The survey includes small arms and light weapons, accessories as well as ammunition. (Keystone) Switzerland has come out top in a ranking about the world’s most transparent small arms exporters. With a score of 21.75 out of a possible 25 points, Switzerland came first ahead of the Netherlands, Britain, Italy and Serbia, according to the 2018 Transparency Barometerexternal link, published on Wednesday. Switzerland has...

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How “Wealthy” Would We Be If We Stopped Borrowing Trillions Every Year?

These charts reflect a linear system that is wobbling into the first stages of non-linear destabilization. The widespread presumption is the U.S. is wealthy beyond words, and will remain so as far as the eye can see: wealthy enough to fund trillion-dollar weapons systems, trillion-dollar endless wars, multi-trillion dollar Medicare for all, multi-trillion dollar Universal Basic Income, and so on, in an endless profusion...

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Swiss Bank Freezes $5 Billion In Russian Money

For years, Russian oligarchs and robber barons seeking to park their “unsourced” capital offshore and away from the sticky fingers of the Kremlin, treated Swiss bank accounts (preferably anonymous) with their “no questions asked” customer policies as, well, Swiss bank accounts. No more. One of Switzerland’s largest banks, Credit Suisse, has frozen roughly 5 billion Swiss francs ($5 billion) of money linked to Russia to...

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Credit Suisse freezes $5 billion in US-Russia sanctions move

The imposing facade of a Credit Suisse building in Oerlikon, Zurich. (Keystone) The Swiss Credit Suisse bank froze some CHF5 billion ($5 billion) of assets linked to Russia earlier this year in an effort to toe the line with US sanctions levied against Moscow. The bank froze the funds in the second quarter of 2018, according to Reuters, in response to sanctions introduced by Washington in April. The sanctions were...

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FX Daily, August 23: Dollar Rebounds

Swiss Franc The Euro has stayed at 1.1398. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 23(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates After correcting lower since the middle of last week, and pushed faster if not further by President Trump’s comments, the US dollar is rebounding against most of the major and emerging market currencies today. After an initial wobble on the back of...

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