Summary: China plans to issue its first USD-denominated bond since 2004. China’s largest banks banned North Koreans from opening new accounts. The UN Security Council approved new sanctions on North Korea. Relations between Poland and the European Commission remain tense. Brazil’s central bank appears to be signaling discomfort with ongoing BRL strength. Brazil President Temer faces a second set of criminal charges....
Read More »Gold Up, Markets Fatigued As War Talk Boils Over
North Korea threatens to reduce the U.S. to ‘ashes and darkness’ Markets becoming used to ongoing provocations from North Korea Russia and China continue to support watered down versions of sanctions on Kim’s regime Both NATO and Russia running war games on one another’s borders Putin says Russia will “give a suitable response” to NATOs threatening behaviour Gold set to climb as fears over economy and war will drive...
Read More »21st Century Shoe-Shine Boys
Anecdotal Flags are Waved “If a shoeshine boy can predict where this market is going to go, then it’s no place for a man with a lot of money to lose.” – Joseph Kennedy It is actually a true story as far as we know – Joseph Kennedy, by all accounts an extremely shrewd businessman and investor (despite the fact that he had graduated in economics*), really did get his shoes shined on Wall Street one fine morning,...
Read More »The Real Reason Wages Have Stagnated: Our Economy is Optimized for Financialization
Labor’s share of the national income is in freefall as a direct result of the optimization of financialization. The Achilles Heel of our socio-economic system is the secular stagnation of earned income, i.e. wages and salaries. Stagnating wages undermine every aspect of our economy: consumption, credit, taxation and perhaps most importantly, the unspoken social contract that the benefits of productivity and increasing...
Read More »Les «diamants de sang» zimbabwéens circulent librement sur les marchés internationaux. La Tribune
Une mine de diamants… - Click to enlarge L’ONG britannique Global Witness vient de publier ce 11 septembre un rapport explosif qui met à nu des opérations de détournement des revenus du secteur minier zimbabwéen par l’élite militaire et politique du pays pour financer les opérations répressives du régime du président Mugabe. Le document, intitulé «An Inside Job», est basé sur l’examen de près des activités et bilans...
Read More »FX Daily, September 15: Short Note Ahead of the Weekend
(Sporadic updates continue as the first of two-week business trip winds down) Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.03% to 1.1481 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 15(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates North Korea missile launch failed to have much impact in the capital markets. The missile apparently flew the furthest yet, demonstrating its ability to hit...
Read More »Oil Rich Venezuela Stops Accepting Dollars
President Maduro ” Venezuela will create a basket of currencies to free us from the dollar,” Oil traders ordered to stop accepting U.S. dollar in exchange for crude oil Order comes following calls from Russia and China to find alternatives to current reserve system U.S. Dollar accounts for two-thirds of global trade Venezuela has over ten-times more oil than United States Super powers are gradually turning to gold to...
Read More »Possible buyer for Air Berlin Swiss subsidiary
Belair is due to stop operations at the end of October (archive picture) (Keystone) - Click to enlarge A potential buyer has been found for Belair, the Swiss subsidiary of insolvent airline Air Berlin, according to Swiss media reports which cite an internal communication to Belair employees. Belair management wrote that there was at least one offer for the airline, according to the az Nordwestschweiz...
Read More »Is the High Cost of Housing Crushing Wages?
The authors’ thesis doesn’t explain the 47-year downtrend of labor’s share of the economy. A provocative essay, Don’t Blame the Robots, makes the bold claim that “Housing Prices and Market Power Explain Wage Stagnation.” (Foreign Affairs) In other words, the stagnation of the bottom 95% of wages isn’t caused by automation or offshoring, but by the crushingly high cost of housing: “Yet recent academic work in...
Read More »COT Report: Black (Crude) and Blue (UST’s)
Over the past month, crude prices have been pinned in a range $50 to the high side and ~$46 at the low. In the futures market, the price of crude is usually set by the money managers (how net long they shift). As discussed before, there have been notable exceptions to this paradigm including some big ones this year. It was earlier in February when money managers piled in to WTI longs, apparently expecting better things...
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