Tag Archives: China

We’ve got to change our ornithological nomenclature. Hawks become doves because they are chickens underneath. Doves became hawks for reasons they don’t really understand. A fingers-crossed policy isn’t a robust one, so there really was no reason to expect the economy to be that way. In January 2019, especially the past few days, there are so many examples of flighty birds. Here’s an especially obvious, egregious one...

Glacier National Park in Montana, USA (Bild: Unsplash) Mit der Auflegung eines neuen und auf Nordamerika konzentrierten Fonds erweitert Nordea AM die STARS-Aktienfonds-Familie, einer Gruppe von Fonds mit ESG-Fokus. Wie alle Fonds in der STARS-Fondsfamilie verfolgt der Nordea 1 – North American Stars Equity Fund den STARS-Ansatz. Mit dem neuen Fonds umfasst die Familie nun sechs Strategien,...

Bild: Unsplash Das aktuelle Country Sustainability Ranking von RobecoSAM zeigt keine Überraschungen. Die skandinavischen Länder und auch die Schweiz haben ihre Führungspositionen gefestigt, während Indien und China weiterhin zu den schwächsten ESG-Performern gehören. Das halbjährlich erscheinende Country Sustainability Ranking Update von RobecoSAM vom November 2018, zeigt Schweden als alleinigen...

After a horrible December and a rough start to the year, as if manna from Heaven the clouds parted and everything seemed good again. Not 2019 this was early February 2015. If there was a birth date for Janet Yellen’s “transitory” canard it surely came within this window. It didn’t matter that currencies had crashed and oil, too, or that central banks had been drawn into the fray in very unexpected ways. Actually it...

Bild: Pixabay Anfang Dezember 2018 haben die USA und China einen 90-tägigen Waffenstillstand im Handelskrieg vereinbart. In der Fondstrends-Umfrage denkt eine grosse Mehrheit der Teilnehmer, dass der Konflikt dennoch weitergehen wird. Am G20-Gipfel Anfang Dezember 2018 sind US-Präsident Donald Trump und Chinas Staats- und Parteichef Xi Jinping übereingekommen, den Handelskrieg vorübergehend bis...

Bild: Unsplash Im Jahr 2019 wird gemäss Keith Wade von Schroders ein eher stagflationäres Umfeld global Einzug halten. Ausserdem werden Zentralbanken ihre Geldpolitik weiter straffen. Von weiteren Abwertungen des US-Dollars profitieren Schwellenländeranleihen. "Obwohl die Weltwirtschaft weiter wächst, bestehen Anzeichen dafür, dass das Wachstum seinen Zenit überschritten hat, da es sowohl in den...

The secret of health for both mind and body is not to mourn for the past, nor to worry about the future, but to live in the present moment wisely and earnestly. Buddha Review It’s that time of year again, time to cast the runes, consult the iChing, shake the Magic Eight Ball and read the tea leaves. What will happen in 2019? Will it be as bad as 2018 when positive returns were hard to come by, as rare as affordable...

The S&P 500 fell more than 12% in a few weeks. The 10-year Treasury yield fell nearly 40 bp. There were cries that the sky was falling. A recession is imminent, we are warned by prognosticators. The Fed went ahead and raised interest rates on March 21, 2018, and the S&P 500 proceeded to gap lower the next day and continued to sell-off the following day. Investors did not like the unanimous decision. Yet far from...

China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reports that the country’s official manufacturing PMI in December 2018 dropped below 50 for the first time since the summer of 2016. Many if not most associate a number in the 40’s with contraction. While that may or not be the case, what’s more important is the quite well-established direction. Coming in at 49.4 in December, it’s down in a straight line from 51.3 in August....

I’m going to break my personal convention and use the bulk of the colors in the eurodollar futures spectrum, not just the single EDM’s (June) contained within each. The current front month is January 2019, and its quoted price as I write this is 97.2475. The EDH (March) 2019 contract trades at 97.29 currently and it will drop off the board on March 18. Three-month LIBOR was fixed yesterday at a fraction higher than...