Tag Archives: newsletter

Am 7. April 2017, dem Tag der Generalversammlung der Schweizerischen Nationalbank, war die Welt der Notenbank noch in Ordnung. Der Euro notierte bei 1.20 zum Franken, und SNB-Chef Thomas Jordan konnte einen Jahresgewinn für das vergangene Geschäftsjahr von 54 Milliarden Franken vorweisen. Ein Sieg auf der ganzen Linie, konnte man meinen. Die Lage an den Devisenmärkten kann so rasch drehen wie das Wetter in den Alpen....

Fragmented politics and the risk of a financial crisis continue to hang over the country. This weekend, the Five Star Movement and the League decided to pull the plug on their attempt to form a coalition government after the President of the Republic Sergio Mattarella vetoed the appointment of anti-euro professor Paolo Savona as minister of finance. Mattarella has granted ex-International Monetary Fund official, Carlo...

The sanctions against Iran are affecting the banking industry there. (Keystone) A Swiss lender is suspending new transactions with Iran following US President Donald Trump’s withdrawal from the nuclear deal with Tehran. Banque de Commerce et de Placements (BCP)external link announced on Tuesday that it was wrapping up its activity in Iran in response to the US pulling out of the Iranian nuclear accord earlier this...

Summary: Euro has fallen 10.5 cents since mid-February. Net speculative longs in the futures market remain near record. Gross long euros have actually increased over the past month. When one trades futures, one declares whether one has an underlying business need, in which case one is considered a commercial. If no underlying business need exists, one is classified as a non-commercial, which in the vernacular of...

Stock Markets EM FX has started the week mixed. Some relief was seen as US rates stalled out last week, but this Friday’s jobs number could be key for the next leg of this dollar rally. On Wednesday, the Fed releases its Beige book for the upcoming June 13 FOMC meeting, where a 25 bp hike is widely expected. We believe EM FX remains vulnerable to further losses. Stock Markets Emerging Markets, May 23 Source:...

Are Gold And Silver Obsolete In The Crypto Age? What is the outlook for the global economy, financial markets, crypto currencies such as bitcoin and gold and silver bullion in the digital age? TOPICS IN THIS INTERVIEW 01:00 Diagnosis of the economy and rising inflation 06:00 Possible stock market correction? 09:30 What is triggering higher oil prices? 13:05 Impacts of rising oil prices on the mining sector 14:40 Gold...

The KOF Economic Barometer for May fell by 3.3 points to a new standing of exactly 100 points. The last time the Barometer had a similar standing was in December 2015. The current value of 100 points to an average development of the Swiss economy in the coming months. In May, the KOF Economic Barometer fell by 3.3 points to 100 points from revised 103.3 in April (first publication in April: 105.3). Within a...

This crowd backed a winner: Bernese football fans gather outside parliament on May 20 after their team, Young Boys, won the Swiss league (Keystone) Swiss crowdfunding platforms dealt with CHF375 million ($377 million) in 2017, almost three times as much as the previous year. Some 160,000 people supported a crowdfunding project. Over the past eight years, more than half a billion francs have been collected via the...

Swiss Franc The Euro rise by 0.38% to 1.1479 CHF. This is the fifth day in sequence that the Swiss Franc appreciated. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates After what could be described as a 15-sigma event yesterday in the Italian bond market, a reprieve today has seen the euro recover a cent from yesterday’s lows. While the...

This is how systems collapse: faith in the visible surface of abundance reigns supreme, and the fragility of the buffers goes unnoticed. I often discuss systems and systemic collapse, and I’ve drawn up a little diagram to illustrate a key dynamic in systemic collapse. The key concepts here are stability and buffers. Though complex systems are never static, but they can be stable: that is, they ebb and flow within...