The Long Run is Here The dollar is failing. Millions of people can see at least some of the major signs, such as the collapse of interest rates, record high number of people not counted in the workforce, and debt rising from already-unpayable levels at an accelerating rate. US Total Credit Market Debt, 1968 - 2018Total US credit market debt has hit a new high of $68.6 trillion at the end of 2017. - Click to enlarge...
Read More »Great Graphic: Has the Dollar Bottomed Against the Yen?
The US dollar appears to be carving a low against the yen. After a significant fall, investor ought to be sensitive to bottoming patterns. The first tell was the key reversal on March 26. In this case, the key reversal was when the dollar made a new low for the move (~JPY104.55) and then rallied to close above the previous session high. The second tell was the divergence with the technical indicators. The divergence is...
Read More »Silver Bullion: Should We Be Worried About Silver?
Silver Bullion: Should We Be Worried About Silver? – Bloomberg’s Mike McGlone silver “set to test the $18 an ounce resistance level” – LBMA report: volume of silver ounces transferred in February fell by 24% – Standard Chartered: gold-silver ratio and supply/demand fundamentals favour silver – Gold/silver ratio at near two-year high on silver’s underperformance – Silver COT reports remain more bullish than at any time...
Read More »Playing for All the Marbles
Global Plunge Protection Teams must be ordering take-out food; every night is a long one now. The current stocks/bonds game is for all the marbles, by which I mean the status quo now depends on valuations and interest rates remaining near their current levels for the system to function. If interest rates soar and/or stocks plummet, the game is over: pension funds collapse, tax revenues drop, debt based on high asset...
Read More »FX Daily, April 06: Trade Trumps Jobs
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.08% to 1.1779 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 06(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Trade and equity market volatility, which are not completely separate, continue to dominate investors’ interest. Many had come around to accept that while trade tensions were running high, it was likely to be mostly posturing. This...
Read More »Swiss corporate tax rates ‘likely to fall’ in some cantons
Places like Vevey in canton Vaud are tipped to lower rates in the face of impending corporate tax reforms (Keystone) - Click to enlarge Impending corporate tax reforms are likely to reduce rates in higher tax cantons, such as Geneva, Vaud and Basel City, according to KPMG. Overall, the business consultancy group expects Switzerland to remain an attractive location for multinational corporations. Little has...
Read More »Brexit, Stagflation Pressures UK High Street
Brexit, Stagflation Pressures UK High Street – UK high street and wider consumer market feeling effects of financial crisis, Brexit and inflation – 350,000 retails jobs expected to disappear between 2016 and 2020 – Centre for Retail Research predicts 9,500 shops to close this year and 10,200 in 2019 – UK is ‘worst performing’ European market for new car registrations – Moody’s – UK’s growth outlook is the ‘worst in...
Read More »China Vows Retaliation With “Same Scale, Intensity” To Any New US Tariffs
Trump’s aggressive trade war overtures and China’s initial retaliatory moves have spooked Wall Street over the past week and again on Monday, which helped drive down the Dow Jones by 459 points, with the Nasdaq Composite quickly approaching correction territory. And as the mass exodus continues out of Wall Street’s highest-flying stocks, trade war concerns are sparking political, regulatory and market challenges that...
Read More »Revenu universel, du néo-libéralisme jusqu’au bout
Les quantitative easing de la dernière décennie ont créé un assèchement de liquidités locales. Ceci est un fait observable. Les banques locales sont étranglées par diverses directives imposées par les tenants et « régulateurs » de la haute finance internationale (Finma pour la Suisse). L’échec économique se propage, avec de multiples faillites de commerces et d’entreprises? Vous n’avez plus accès à vos...
Read More »Swiss Consumer Price Index in March 2018: +0.8 percent YoY, +0.4 percent MoM
The consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.4% in March 2018 compared with the previous month, reaching 101.5 points (December 2015=100). In comparison with the same month of the previous year, inflation stood at 0.8%. These figures were compiled by the Federal Statistical Office (FSO). Switzerland Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY, May 2013 - Apr 2018(see more posts on Switzerland Consumer Price Index, ) Source:...
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