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Tag Archives: newsletter

The Cultural Consequences of Negative Interest Rates

Negative interest rates are now entrenched reality in Europe, and not just for buyers of sovereign or corporate debt – even retail savings accounts are affected. What does this mean for real people trying to save for retirement? And more broadly, what does it mean for Europe culturally? Not to mention America, since Alan Greenspan tells us negative rates are coming here soon? Our guest Rahim Taghizadegan from the independent Viennese...

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The ECB’s “mea culpa”

Economists, conservative investors and market observers have been issuing stern warnings for years regarding the severe impact of the current monetary policy direction. The problems In a recent statement, ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos warned of potential side effects and risks to the economy resulting directly from the central bank’s policies. He outlined how a decade of extremely aggressive monetary interventions have resulted in an erosion of financial...

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FX Daily, December 4: Hope Springs Eternal

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.19% to 1.0957 . FX Rates Overview: The prospect of not just the failure of the US and China to resolve its trade dispute but a new escalation has sapped the confidence that had lifted equity benchmarks and the greenback. Led by more than a 1% decline in Tokyo (Nikkei), Hong Kong, and Australia, all the major markets in the Asia Pacific region fell. European shares, perhaps encouraged by an upward revision to the flash composite...

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USD/CHF Technical Analysis: 38.2 percent Fibonacci, 200-DMA doubt pullback from monthly low

USD/CHF recovers from four weeks’ low. 50% Fibonacci retracement level, October bottom restrict further downside. 200-DMA breakout will again highlight 1.0000 psychological magnet. USD/CHF seesaws around 0.9873 while heading into the European session on Wednesday. The quote dropped to the lowest since early November on Tuesday but pulls back off-late. The pair’s refrain to drop further below the latest bottom seems to prepare for a confrontation to 38.2% Fibonacci...

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Crunchtime: When Events Outrun Plan B

Not only will events outrun Plan B, they’ll also outrun Plans C and D. We all know what Plan B is: our pre-planned response to the emergence of risk. Plan B is for risks that can be anticipated, regular but unpredictable events such tornadoes, earthquakes, hurricanes, etc. In the human sphere, risks that can be anticipated include temporary loss of a job, stock market down turns, recession, disruption of energy supplies, etc. Hidden in most Plan B’s are a host of...

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Verpflichtungen der Anlagefonds sinken erstmals seit 2008

Zwei Faktoren prägten 2018 die finanziellen Forderungen der privaten Haushalte: Einerseits führten sinkende Aktienkurse zu hohen Kapitalverlusten, andererseits erhöhten die privaten Haushalte ihr Finanzvermögen durch Transaktionen. Sie bauten ihre Ansprüche gegenüber Versicherungen und Pensionskassen aus, sie stockten ihre Einlagen bei Banken auf, und sie investierten in Wertschriften. Insgesamt gingen die finanziellen Forderungen der privaten Haushalte geringfügig...

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China No Longer Needs US Parts In Its Phones

Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk, China was once very dependent on US chips for its phones. The latest Chinese phones have no US parts. The Wall Street Journal reports Huawei Manages to Make Smartphones Without American Chips. American tech companies are getting the go-ahead to resume business with Chinese smartphone giant Huawei Technologies Co., but it may be too late: It is now building smartphones without U.S. chips. Huawei’s latest phone, which it...

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$255 Trillion Global Debt Bubble May Burst In 2020 – Prepare Now

Source: Bloomberg ◆ Global debt has risen to another record at $255 trillion due to cheap borrowing costs. ◆ A decade of easy money has left the world with a record $250 trillion of government, corporate and household debt. ◆ This is almost three times global economic output and equates to about $32,500 for every man, woman and child on earth. ◆ “With central bank rates at their lowest levels and U.S. Treasuries at their richest valuations in 100 years, we appear to...

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Exports: Currency Devaluation Won’t Grow the Economy

A visible weakness in economic activity in major world economies raises concern among various commentators that world economies have difficulties recovering despite very aggressive loose monetary policies. The yearly growth rate of US industrial production stood at minus 1.1 % in October, against minus 0.1% in September, and 4.1% in October last year. In the euro zone, the yearly growth rate of production stood at minus 1.7% in September versus minus 2.8% in the...

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Dollar Soft on Weak Data and the Return of Tariff Man

The dollar has taken a hit from the weaker than expected data Monday Tariff man is back The US economy remains solid in Q4 but there are some worrying signs for the November jobs data Friday The political pressure on Turkey from the US could increase soon; South Africa’s Q3 GDP came in well below expectations at -0.6% q/q and 0.1% y/y Japan JGB auction went poorly on supply concerns ahead of planned fiscal stimulus; RBA kept rates steady at 0.75% but the outlook was...

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