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Tag Archives: newsletter

FX Daily, February 15: Equities Stall While Greenback Remains Firm

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.10% at 1.1336 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 15(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The S&P 500 snapped a four-day advance yesterday, and equities in the Asia Pacific followed suit. All the markets in the region were lower but in Australia. MSCI’s regional benchmark stalled after reached a four-month high in the...

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Swiss Labour Force Survey in 4th quarter 2018: 0.8percent increase in number of employed persons; unemployment rate based on ILO definition at 4.6percent

14.02.2019 – The number of employed persons in Switzerland rose by 0.8% between the 4th quarter 2017 and the 4th quarter 2018. During the same period, the unemployment rate as defined by the International Labour Organisation (ILO) increased slightly by 0.1 percentage points to 4.6%. The EU’s unemployment rate decreased from 7.3% to 6.6%. These are some of the results from the Swiss Labour Force Survey (SLFS). Download...

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Pressure mounts on Swiss commodity traders in Brazil corruption probe

Brazilian prosecutors alleged Vitol, Glencore and Trafigura and others collectively paid at least $31 million in bribes over a six-year period to Petrobras officials. (Keystone) Pressure is growing on global commodity trading firms with strong ties to Switzerland for their alleged involvement in the “Car Wash” corruption scandal in Brazil. The US Federal Bureau of Investigation is investigating two Vitol executives in...

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What Caused the Recession of 2019-2021?

The banquet of consequences is now being served, but the good seats have all been taken. As I discussed in We’re Overdue for a Sell-Everything/No-Fed-Rescue Recession, recessions have a proximate cause and a structural cause. The proximate cause is often a spike in energy costs (1973, 1990) or a financial crisis triggered by excesses of speculation and debt (2000 and 2008) or inflation (1980). Structural causes are...

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Gold Prices In Pounds and Euros Gain More as Economic Growth Falters in the UK and EU

Gold prices in pounds and euros as economic growth falters in UK and EU Euro & pound gold tests multi year resistance; likely to surpass due to strong demand   Improved risk appetite sees stocks rise which may be hampering stronger gains for gold Investors concerns regarding trade wars, Brexit, Italexit, the economic outlook and looser monetary policies is seeing robust demand for gold bullion Gold prices broke...

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Socialism, Keynesianism, and Fascism

The American political discourse has changed since the 2018 midterm election. Enthusiasm and passion were to be found on the left-wing of the Democratic Party. A new sense of hope and mission replaced the defeatism and cynicism seen in 2016. Some identified with democratic socialism, but in the political rhetoric the broad brush of “socialism” has been used to paint the entire party. The 2020 contest is already being...

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Swiss Producer and Import Price Index in January 2019: -0.5 percent YoY, -0.7 percent MoM

The Producer Price Index (PPI) or officially named “Producer and Import Price Index” describes the changes in prices for producers and importers. For us it is interesting because it is used in the formula for the Real Effective Exchange Rate. When producers and importers profit on lower price changes when compared to other countries, then the Swiss Franc reduces its overvaluation. The Swiss PPI values of -6% in 2015...

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Switzerland’s federal surplus even larger than expected

© Makasanaphoto | Dreamstime.com In October 2018, government number crunchers revised Switzerland’s federal forecast budget surplus up from CHF 0.3 billion to CHF 2.5 billion. Today, Bern announced that provisional calculations for 2018 now show a surplus of CHF 2.9 billion, CHF 0.4 billion more than last year’s revised figure. The increase was driven by strict spending discipline and higher than expected receipts,...

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The Corporate Lemmings Who Rushed into Mobile/Social Media Ads Are Running off the Cliff

Now the corporate lemmings have rushed into mobile advertising. Given that corporations are run by people, and people are social animals that run in herds, it shouldn’t surprise us that corporations follow the herd, too. Take the herd move to forming conglomerates in the go-go late 1960s: corporations suddenly started buying companies in completely different sectors in businesses they knew nothing about, because...

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U.S. Congressman Introduces Bill to Remove Income Taxation from Gold and Silver

The battle to end taxation of constitutional money has reached the federal level as U.S. Representative Alex Mooney (R-WV) today re-introduced sound money legislation to remove all federal income taxation from gold and silver coins and bullion. The Monetary Metals Tax Neutrality Act (H.R. 1089) backed by the Sound Money Defense League and free-market activists – would clarify that the sale or exchange of precious metals...

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