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Tag Archives: EUR

FX Weekly Preview: Forces of Movement in FX: The Week Ahead

Summary: The dollar has been declining since the start of the year, but the causes have changed. The drag from US politics may be exaggerated, while European and Japanese politics are worrisome. The economic data may continue to be a drag on US yields, especially if core CPI slips again. The US dollar’s sell-off accelerated. It has been selling off since the start of the year. The first phase of the decline at...

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FX Daily, September 08: US Dollar Tracks Yields Lower

​ Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.28% to 1.1393 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 08(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar has been unable to find any traction as US yields continue to move lower. The US 10-year year is slipping below 2.03% in European turnover, the lowest level in ten months. The risk, as we have noted, is that without...

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FX Daily, September 07: ECB Focus for Sure, but not Only Game in Town

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.35% to 1.1433 CHF.   FX Rates The US dollar is trading broadly lower. The ECB meeting looms large. Many, like ourselves, expected that when Draghi said in July that the asset purchases would be revisited in the fall, it to meant after the summer recess, not a legalistic definition of when fall begins. Still, there have been some reports, citing unnamed sources close to the ECB, that...

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FX Daily, September 06: Wake Me up when September Ends

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.17% to 1.1396 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 06(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar fell to new lows since mid-2015 against the Canadian dollar yesterday. It is flattish today as the market awaits the central bank’s decision. We are concerned that given the strong performance and market positioning, a rate...

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FX Daily, September 5: Greenback Mixed, North Korea and PMIs in Focus

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.07% to 1.1406 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Reports suggesting that North Korea is moving an ICBM missile toward launch pad in the western part of the country at night to minimize detection, while South Korea is escalating its military preparedness and the US seeks new...

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FX Weekly Preview: Three Central Banks Dominate the Week Ahead

Summary: Following strong Q2 GDP figures, risk is that Bank of Canada’s rate hike anticipated for October is brought forward. ECB’s guidance to that it will have to extend its purchases into next year will continue to evolve. Among Fed officials speaking ahead of the blackout period, Brainard and Dudley’s comments are the most important. Four central banks from high income countries hold policy is making...

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FX Daily, September 01: Manufacturing PMIs, US Jobs, and Implications of Harvey

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.04% to 1.1418 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 01(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates As the markets head into the weekend, global equities are firmer, benchmark 10-year yields are mostly lower, and the dollar is consolidating after North American pared the greenback’s gains yesterday. Manufacturing PMIs from China, EMU,...

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FX Daily, August 31: US Core PCE Deflator may Challenge the Greenback’s Firmer Tone

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.05% to 1.1441 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 31(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar recovery was marginally extendedin Asia, and while it remains firm, it is lost some of its momentum. The Fed’s target inflation measure, the core PCE deflator, may decline from 1.5% to 1.4%, according to the median forecast in...

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FX Daily, August 30: US Dollar Recovery Extended

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.09% to 1.1427 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar recovery that began in North American yesterday continued to in Asia and Europe. The geopolitical anxiety sparked by North Korea’s missile over Japan subsided. The US response was seen as measured and tempered. North Korea...

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FX Daily, August 29: Dollar Losses Accelerate After North Korea Sends Missile over Japan

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.57% to 1.1374 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 29(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates A brief period of quiet, which some may have confused with a change in posture, North Korea followed up the weekend’s test of three ballistic missiles with what appears to have been an intermediate missile that flew over Japan. South Korea...

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