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Tag Archives: EUR

FX Daily, September 26: Weekend Election and North Korea Rhetoric Helps Greenback Remain Firm

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.01% to 1.1446 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 26(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is firmer against most major currencies today. The implications the Jamaica coalition in Germany is understood to be less likely to support a new vision for Europe in the aftermath of Brexit and the Great Financial Crisis....

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FX Daily, September 25: Euro and Kiwi Dragged Lower

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.37% to 1.1538 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 25(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The end of the Grand Coalition in Germany and the need for a coalition in New Zealand are weighing on the respective currencies. The euro was marked down in Asia and briefly dipped below $1.19 before recovering to $1.1940 by the middle of...

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FX Weekly Preview: Old and New Drivers in the Week Ahead

Last week’s developments will continue to shape the investment climate in the week ahead, and at the same time, new inflation readings from the US, EMU, and Japan will add incrementally to investors’ information set. We do not expect the results of the German election to have much market impact. The most likely result is a strong signal of continuity with a return of the Grand Coalition. At the same time, French...

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FX Daily, September 22: Markets Limp into the Weekend

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.05% to 1.1595 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 22(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The cycle of sanctions, recriminations, and provocative actives continues as the Trump Administration leads a confrontation with North Korea. The US announced yesterday new round of sanctions on North Korea. Reuters reported that the...

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FX Daily, September 21: Market Digests Fed, Greenback Consolidates, Antipodeans Tumble

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.17% to 1.1477 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 21(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The market has mostly interpreted the Fed’s action in line with our thinking. Despite the lowering of the long-run Fed funds rate, the shifting one of the three hikes from 2019 into 2020, and recognizing that the weaker price impulses...

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FX Daily, September 20: Shrinkage and Beyond

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.01% to 1.1541 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 20(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates After much anticipation, the FOMC decision day is here. Much of the focus is on the likely decision that the Fed will allow its balance sheet to shrink gradually. No other country who employed quantitative easing has is in a position to...

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FX Daily, September 19: Quiet Tuesday, Follow the Leader

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.36% to 1.153 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 19(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Politics seems to dominate the talking points today. Boris Johnson’s weekend op-ed has been rejected by May, and there is talk that Johnson may resign or fired. Sterling is consolidating after pulling back yesterday. Carney said that if the...

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FX Daily, September 18: More Thoughts from Berlin

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.03% to 1.1468 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 18(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The unexpected weakness in US retail sales and industrial production reported before the weekend did not prevent US yields and stocks from rising.  Asia followed suit, and with Japanese markets closed, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index rallied a...

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FX Daily, September 13: Sterling Shines While Euro Stalls in Front of $1.20

(The next leg of the business trip takes me to Frankfurt. Sporadic updates will continue) Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.14% to 1.147 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates We have been identifying the $1.3430 area is a reasonable technical target for sterling. It represents the 50% retracement of sterling’s losses...

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FX Daily, September 12: Dollar Sports Heavier Tone as Yesterday’s Bounce Runs out of Steam

(The sporadic updates continue while I am on a two-week business trip. Now in Barcelona, participating in TradeTech FX Europe) Several developments have attracted our attention, but the key take away is that the global capital markets have stabilized after appearing downright frightful at the end of last week, as stocks, yields, and the dollar plummeted. Equities rallied om Monday and there was follow through buying in...

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