Headlines Week January 23, 2017 Who has read Milton Friedman knows that the Trump reflation trade is now showing its positive side. US wages are rising by 2.5%, while inflation is still relatively low. According to Friedman, inflation will increase only later. This implies that speculators are long the dollar and short the Swiss franc and the euro during the weak inflation period. The last ECB meeting showed that the...
Read More »Weekly Sight Deposits and Speculative Positions: Stronger SNB interventions at more expensive EUR
Headlines Week January 13, 2017 Who has read Milton Friedman knows that the Trump reflation trade is now showing its positive side. US wages are rising by 2.5%, while inflation is still relatively low. According to Friedman, inflation will increase only later. This implies that speculators are long the dollar and short the Swiss franc and the euro during the weak inflation period. The last ECB meeting showed that the...
Read More »Weekly Sight Deposits and Speculative Positions: SNB Intervenes, Speculators Short CHF again
Headlines Week January 09, 2017 Who has read Milton Friedman knows that the Trump reflation trade is now showing its positive side. US wages are rising by 2.5%, while inflation is still relatively low. According to Friedman, inflation will increase only later. This implies that speculators are long the dollar and short the Swiss franc and the euro during the weak inflation period. The last ECB meeting showed that the...
Read More »Weekly Sight Deposits and Speculative Positions:
Headlines Week January 02, 2017 Who has read Milton Friedman knows that the Trump reflation trade is now showing its positive side. US wages are rising by 2.5%, while inflation is still relatively low. According to Friedman, inflation will increase only later. This implies that speculators are long the dollar and short the Swiss franc and the euro. The last ECB meeting showed that the ECB might be dovish for a longer...
Read More »Weekly Sight Deposits and Speculative Positions: SNB intervenes, while Speculators go Long CHF
Headlines Week Ending December 23 , 2016 Who has read Milton Friedman knows that the Trump reflation trade is now showing its positive side. US wages are rising by 2.5%, while inflation is still relatively low. According to Friedman, inflation will increase only later. This implies that speculators are long the dollar and short the Swiss franc and the euro. The last ECB meeting showed that the ECB might be dovish for a...
Read More »Weekly Sight Deposits: No SNB Interventions, Short CHF nearing records
Headlines Week December 09, 2016 Who has read Milton Friedman knows that the Trump reflation trade is now showing its positive side. US wages are rising by 2.5%, while inflation is still relatively low. According to Friedman, inflation will increase only later. This implies that speculators are long the dollar and short the Swiss franc and the euro. Last week’s ECB meeting showed that the ECB might be dovish for a...
Read More »Weekly Sight Deposits: Week December 09, 2016
Headlines Week December 09, 2016 Who has read Milton Friedman knows that the Trump reflation trade is now showing its positive side. US wages are rising by 2.5%, while inflation is still relatively low. According to Friedman, inflation will increase only later. This implies that speculators are long the dollar and short the Swiss franc and the euro. Last week’s ECB meeting showed that the ECB might be dovish for a...
Read More »How Problematic Is a Large Central Bank Balance Sheet?
On his blog, John Cochrane reports about a Hoover panel including him, Charles Plosser, and John Taylor. Cochrane focuses on the liability side. He favors a large quantity of (possibly interest bearing) reserves for financial stability reasons. Plosser focuses on the asset side and is worried about credit allocation by the Fed, for political economy reasons. Taylor favors a small balance sheet. Cochrane also talks about reserves for everyone, but issued by the Treasury.
Read More »Weekly SNB Intervention Update: Sight Deposits and Speculative Position
Headlines Week December 09, 2016 Who has read Milton Friedman knows that the Trump reflation trade is now showing its positive side. US wages are rising by 2.5%, while inflation is still relatively low. According to Friedman, inflation will increase only later. This implies that speculators are long the dollar and short the Swiss franc and the euro. Last week’s ECB meeting showed that the ECB might be dovish for a...
Read More »Weekly Sight Deposits: Investors hedge with Swiss Franc again for the coming inflation cycle.
Headlines Week November, 25 2016 We explained the Trump reflation trade, where the Swiss Franc acts as the usual inflation hedge against the obviously inflationary policies of Trumpeconomics. Trump is about tax cuts – i.e. a fiscal deficit up to 10%, and about protectionism. Trump would restrict global trade and push up U.S. wages. According to Lars Christensen Trumpeconomics is also about monetary stimulus: Trump...
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