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USD/CHF technical analysis: Buyers’ exhaustion around 0.9985/90

USD/CHF repeatedly fails to cross 0.9985/90 area. A two-month-old rising trend-line, 100-day EMA grabs sellers’ attention. Repeated failures to rise past-0.9985/90 resistance-area drags USD/CHF to 0.9965 by the press time of early Tuesday. The pair now witnesses pullback towards the two-month-old rising trend-line, at 0.9930, a break of which could further drag the quote to a 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level of 0.9910. Though, pair’s declines beneath...

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USD/CHF technical analysis: Pivots around 200-day SMA, near mid-0.9900s

Continued with its struggle to extend the momentum beyond 200-DMA. Bears eye a decisive break below the ascending trend-channel support. Bulls are likely to await a sustained strength above the key parity mark. The USD/CHF pair failed to capitalize on last week’s attempted rebound from a support marked by the lower end of a two-month-old ascending trend-channel and met with some fresh supply on Monday. The pair’s repeated failed attempts to extend the momentum...

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Unions urge probe on asbestos-linked deaths

Swiss Federal Railways is among the companies whose pre-1990s work practices are being questioned in relation to asbestos deaths. Labour unions are demanding a probe of companies’ pre-1990 working conditions in the southern Swiss canton of Ticino, in connection with recent asbestos-linked deaths. They are targeting particularly Swiss Federal Railways and the Swiss accident insurance fund SUVA. There is concern in Ticino over several recent deaths of former employees...

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Swiss upper house calls on executive to end marriage tax penalty

© Katarzyna Bialasiewicz | Dreamstime.com In Switzerland, some married couples pay more tax than unmarried ones, something referred to as the marriage tax penalty. The issue has been doing the rounds of the halls of Switzerland’s government for around 30 years. On 28 February 2016, a vote to change the current system was narrowly rejected by 50.8% of voters. Then in April 2019, the result of this referendum was reversed by the Federal Tribunal, Switzerland’s highest...

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Motte and Bailey Fallacy, Report 13 Oct

This week, we will delve into something really abstract. Not like monetary economics, which is so simple even a caveman can do it. A Clever Ruse We refer to a clever rhetorical trick. It’s when someone makes a broad and important assertion, in very general terms. But when challenged, the assertion is switched for one that is entirely uncontroversial but also narrow and unimportant. The trick is intended to foreclose debate of the broad assertion, not really to...

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FX Daily, October 14: Optimism Took the Weekend Off

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.16% to 1.0979 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Japanese and Canadian markets are on holiday today. While the US bond market is closed, equities maintain their regular hours today. Asia Pacific equities rallied, led by 1% of more gains in China, Taiwan, South Korea, and Thailand. The buying did not continue in Europe, and after a...

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USD/CHF technical analysis: Positive above 200-bar SMA, 0.9890/87 confluence

USD/CHF pulls back from 0.9990, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement on the sellers’ radar. 200-bar SMA, followed by rising multi-week-old rising trendline and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, limit further declines. Despite witnessing a downside pressure off-late, the USD/CHF pair remains well above the key supports while taking rounds to 0.9960 amid pre-European open session on Monday. While 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of August–October upside, at 0.9940, seems to please...

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FX Weekly Preview: Same Three Drivers in the Week Ahead but Changing Tones

Three themes have dominated the investment climate: US-China tensions, Brexit, and the policy response to the disinflationary forces. None have been resolved, which contributes to the uncertainty for businesses, households, and investors. However, the negativity that has prevailed is receding a little. It begins with the most substantive progress on Brexit in months, but also entails a possible new tariff truce between the US and China. Indeed, we irreverently...

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Zurich homes market in highly overvalued territory, says UBS

© Ppvector | Dreamstime.com Every quarter UBS, a bank, publishes its real estate bubble index, a report that covers real estate prices in 24 cities around the world. In the third quarter of 2019, Munich was listed as the most overvalued housing market in the world. Bubble risk was highest in Munich, Toronto, Hong Kong and Amsterdam. Frankfurt, Vancouver and Paris. London moved out of bubble risk territory while Paris and Frankfurt entered the risk zone for the first...

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EM Preview for the Week Ahead

EM benefited greatly from the improvement in US-China trade relations and quite possibly Brexit. The dollar is likely to remain under some pressure near-term as a result. Yet we must caution investors against getting too optimistic. The details of the partial trade deal still need to be worked out, while existing tariffs will still remain in place if the deal is signed next month as most expect. Brexit negotiations have accelerated but we note that any deal must...

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