The dollar continues to gain traction as the two-day FOMC begins; US political uncertainty has entered a new phase Yesterday marked the third time that UK Prime Minister Johnson lost a vote for elections; he will try again today Weak South Africa data support our call for imminent easing; the threat of sanctions against Turkey are back on the table Lower than expected Tokyo October CPI was reported The dollar is mostly firmer against the majors as the FOMC’s two-day...
Read More »FX Daily, October 29: Calm before the Storm
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.04% to 1.104 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 29(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The more prominent events this week still lie ahead, and the capital markets are trading accordingly. The rally that lifted the S&P 500 to new record highs yesterday carried over into Asia, where most equity markets rose, though China, Hong Kong, and South Korea were notable...
Read More »USD/CHF technical analysis: Downside capped by immediate rising channel
USD/CHF pulls back from multi-day old falling trend line resistance. 50% of Fibonacci retracement adds strength to the channel’s support. Although a downward sloping trend line since October 03 recently triggered the USD/CHF pair’s pullback, prices still stay inside a short-term rising channel while taking rounds to 0.9950 during Asian session on Tuesday. Not only the lower line of the seven-day-old ascending channel but 50% Fibonacci retracement level of current...
Read More »Campaign targets online gambling addicts
Experts say about 192,000 people in Switzerland are at risk of gambling addiction. A small group has a compulsive gambling behaviour. An awareness campaign has been launched to help addicted online gamblers in Switzerland cope with their compulsive behaviour. An independent foundationexternal link said it published a special digital programme, Gambling without Addictionexternal link, with the authorities in most cantons of German-speaking Switzerland. It includes...
Read More »General Electric limits job cuts in Switzerland
Most of the 2,700 jobs of GE Switzerland will be at two sites outside Zurich, notably in Baden and Birr. The American industrial conglomerate General Electric has announced a reduction in the number of planned layoffs at its subsidiaries in Switzerland. The company said a maximum of 200 people would lose their jobs at two of its sites west of Zurich. In June it had announced a figure of some 450. GE Switzerland said it was willing to help its staff find new jobs, the...
Read More »Cool Video: Dollar and Fed
I joined Tom Keene and Marty Schenker (chief content officer) on the set of Bloomberg TV this morning. Schenker discussed some of the geopolitical issues in the Middle East, and Keene asked about the impact on the dollar. I expressed my concern that the chief threat to the dollar’s role in the world economy is the several administrations have increasing weaponized access to the dollar and the dollar funding market. It used to be a public good, a utility if you will....
Read More »More Points For, And Pointing To, The Midpoint
It’s not surprising that the Census Bureau would report another weird sideways trend in wholesale sales. After all, the agency has already produced that kind of pattern in the related data for durable goods. For reasons that aren’t going to be explained, economic activity across the supply chain from producers to consumers has been curtailed. That hasn’t mean outright shrinking in seasonally adjusted forms, but it also doesn’t mean growth, either. I’m guessing there...
Read More »‘Next generation’ private bank plans to open doors in Switzerland
The Swiss financial sector has been leaking banks in recent years. A new private banking venture has joined the growing list of companies applying for licenses from the Swiss financial regulator. Tallyon aims to become a “next generation” private bank, riding the way of “radical change” in the industry. “Banking is to be redefined, and the use of technology should ensure that employees and customers receive a higher esteem than many banks do today,” says chairman...
Read More »Bitcoin Myths, Report 27 Oct
Keith gave a keynote address—the only speaker with an hour to cover his topic—at the Gold and Alternative Investments Conference in Sydney on Saturday. Said topic was the nature of money. “Money is a matter of functions four: a medium, a measure, a standard, a store.” Most of the talk was structured around discussing these functions. Medium is pretty obvious: the dollar is the universal medium of exchange. It is basically frictionless, trading at zero spread (with...
Read More »FX Daily, October 28: Politics Dominates Start of the Week before Yielding to Policy and Economics
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.24% to 1.104 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 28(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The pre-weekend rally in US shares, with the S&P 500 flirting with record highs and the back-up in US yields, set the tone for Asia Pacific trading earlier today. Nearly all the equity markets advanced, and bond yields rose. Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 took a five-day advancing...
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