Following the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) publication of Switzerland’s balance of payments data for Q4 2017, in this note we look deeper into the Swiss current account to try to find out why Switzerland persistently runs a surplus and whether or not the current account balance can be used to assess the fair value of the Swiss franc. In 2017, the current account surplus stood at around 9.8% of GDP or CHF66bn. This was...
Read More »Disentangling the Swiss current account
Switzerland’s high current account surplus is far from being a good proxy for assessing the fair value of the Swiss franc.Switzerland has run a current account surplus since the 1980s. In 2017, it stood at around 9.8% of GDP, CHF66bn. This was CHF4bn higher than in 2016.Economic theory suggests that a large current account surplus is a function of an undervalued currency. Based on this premise, there may be question marks over the SNB’s contention that the Swiss franc was “overvalued”.In a...
Read More »Disentangling the Swiss current account
Switzerland’s high current account surplus is far from being a good proxy for assessing the fair value of the Swiss franc.Switzerland has run a current account surplus since the 1980s. In 2017, it stood at around 9.8% of GDP, CHF66bn. This was CHF4bn higher than in 2016.Economic theory suggests that a large current account surplus is a function of an undervalued currency. Based on this premise, there may be question marks over the SNB’s contention that the Swiss franc as “overvalued”.In a...
Read More »Swiss Balance of Payments and International Investment Position: Q2 2017
Q2/2017 Change vs. Q2/2016 Changein % Current Account +18.7 bn. +19.4 bn. -3.7% of which Goods Trade net +19.6 bn. +19.2 bn. +2.0% of which Services Trade net +4.1 bn. +4.7 bn. -14.6% of which Investment Income net +7.4 bn. +9.6 bn. -29.7% Financial Account +12.5 bn. +6.0 bn. +52% of which Direct Investments net -63.0 bn. +6.4 bn. -89.8% of which Portfolio Investments net +26.5 bn. -0.5 bn. +98.1% of...
Read More »Swiss balance of payments and international investment position: Current Account Surplus Up 22%
[unable to retrieve full-text content]Switzerland extended its current account and trade surplus in Q4/2016 by 22%, helped by strong interventions by the Swiss National Bank.
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