By 2040 the number of retired people in Switzerland is expected to reach 2.6 million, up from 1.6 million at present. (Keystone) Switzerland’s workforce is in good shape but perhaps not for long, according to a new study by the consulting firm Deloitte. Tapping existing pools of talent including older workers and women are key to helping companies meet future demands for skilled labour. In its latest future of work...
Read More »Are We in a Recession Already?
The value of declaring the entire nation in or out of recession is limited. Recessions are typically only visible to statisticians long after the fact, but they are often visible in real time on the ground: business volume drops, people stop buying houses and vehicles, restaurants that were jammed are suddenly sepulchral and so on. There are well-known canaries in the coal mine in terms of indicators. These include...
Read More »The Big Picture: Paper Money vs. Gold
Numbers from Bizarro-World The past few months have been really challenging for anyone invested in gold or silver; for me personally as well. Despite serious warning signs in the economy, staggering debt levels and a multitude of significant geopolitical threats at play, the rally in risk assets seemed to continue unabated. In fact, I was struggling with this seeming paradox myself. As I kept looking at the state of...
Read More »FX Daily, December 11: Fragile Calm Threatens to Break Out
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.17% at 1.1226 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 11(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Indications that US and Chinese trade talks are proceeding, coupled with a dramatic reversal in the S&P 500 yesterday is helping stabilize the capital markets today. Asian equities were mixed, but the Greater China (China,...
Read More »Cool Video: Bloomberg Economic Discussion
I joined Chris Wolfe from First Republic Wealth Management on the set of Bloomberg’s Daybreak to discuss market developments and the outlook for the US economy. We generally agreed that while the economy is slowing it is doing so from unsustainably strong levels. We also are both highly convinced that the Fed will increase rates later this month, and anticipate two hikes next year. Investors, understandably with scar...
Read More »Swiss Government wants Public Consultation on EU Framework deal
Switzerland is not a member of the European Union, but the close ties between the two are governed by over 120 bilateral sectoral accords negotiated since 1992 (Martin Ruetschi/Keystone) The Swiss government says it wants to carry out a public consultation before taking a final position on an “institutional framework” agreement negotiated with the European Union aimed at cementing future ties between Switzerland and its...
Read More »Economics Is Easy When You Don’t Have To Try
The real question is why no one says anything. They can continue to make these grossly untrue, often contradictory statements without fear of having to explain themselves. Don’t even think about repercussions. Even in front of politicians ostensibly being there on behalf of the public, pedigree still matters more than results. It’s actually worse than that since all that I’m talking about means it is these guys who...
Read More »Gold and Silver Gained 2 percents and 3 percents Last Week While Stocks Dropped Nearly 5 percents
Close Gain/Loss On Week Gold $1248.40 +$10.10 +2.19% Silver $14.63 +$0.25 +3.25% XAU 67.94 +2.40% +5.40% HUI 153.93 +2.58% +6.13% GDM 560.05 +2.34% +5.32% JSE Gold 1201.13 -0.09 +9.31% USD 96.60 -0.14 -0.61% Euro 114.10 +0.24 +0.80% Yen 88.80 +0.01 +0.67% Oil $52.61 +$1.12 +3.30% 10-Year 2.856% -0.031 -4.86% Bond 143.90625 +0.34375 +2.27% Dow 24388.95 -2.24% -4.50% Nasdaq 6969.25 -3.05% -4.93% S&P 2633.08 -2.33%...
Read More »The Prodigal Parent, Report 9 Dec 2018
The Baby Boom generation may be the first generation to leave less to their children than they inherited. Or to leave nothing at all. We hear lots—often from Baby Boomers—about the propensities of their children’s generation. The millennials don’t have good jobs, don’t save, don’t buy houses in the same proportions as their parents, etc. We have no doubt that attitudes have changed. That the millennials’ financial...
Read More »FX Daily, December 10: Lack of Closure Weighs on Sentiment
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.01% at 1.1267 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Investors angst over trade tensions and Brexit continue remains elevated, and poor Chinese and Japanese economic news played on global growth fears. Equities continue to slog lower. Bond yields are little changed, and the dollar is lower against most...
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