This is not what we ordered! German factory orders collapsed in April, suggesting that the economic slowdown could extend into Q2. The underlying pace of domestic demand expansion looks more resilient. The main downside risks relate to net exports, in our view. Still, the most recent data releases have not been fully consistent with the ECB’s “hawkish moderation” scenario. A rebound in soft and hard data will be...
Read More »Nach Vollgeld-Schlacht: Wir Schweizer dürfen nie mehr zum Spielball ausländischer Ideologen werden
Wer sich intensiv mit der fachlichen Materie „Vollgeld-Initiative“ auseinandergesetzt hat, kann aufatmen. Wäre diese Initiative angenommen worden, hätte deren Umsetzung unser Land in ein wirtschaftliches und politisches Chaos gestürzt. Es hätte nur zwei Möglichkeiten gegeben: entweder die Initiative einfach ignorieren und nicht umsetzen (wie das in unserem Land mehr und mehr in Mode kommt) oder sie nachträglich für...
Read More »SNB Statement on the outcome of the popular vote of 10 June 2018
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has acknowledged the outcome of the popular vote on the sovereign money initiative. The SNB has a constitutional and statutory mandate to pursue a monetary policy serving the interests of the country as a whole. It is charged with ensuring price stability while taking due account of economic developments. The adoption of the sovereign money initiative would have made it considerably more...
Read More »Swiss jobless rate drops to 2.4 percent
Spoiled for choice? More job offers continue to push down unemployment. The unemployment rate in Switzerland has reached a new nadir – just 2.4%, according to latest official statistics. The number of jobseekers is the lowest since the financial crisis. The statistics, published by the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) on Thursday, show that the numbers of unemployed turning up at job centres fell by 9% last...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: Busy Week Ahead
The week ahead is eventful. The Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan hold policy meetings. This would make for a busy week by themselves, but there is more. Trade tensions are likely to escalate further, if the US, as scheduled provides a list of $50 bln of Chinese goods that will face another 25% tariff for intellectual property violations. If the US does so, China has threatened to retract...
Read More »Emerging Markets: What Changed
Summary The Reserve Bank of India hiked rates for the first time since 2014. Malaysia’s central bank governor resigned. Czech central bank tilted more hawkish. Russia central bank tilted more dovish. Argentina got a $50 bln standby program from the IMF. Brazil central bank signaled more aggressive FX intervention ahead. Mexico trade tensions with US are rising. Peru has a new Finance Minister. Stock Markets In the EM...
Read More »“Without Gold I Would Have Starved To Death” – ECB Governor
– “Without gold I would have starved to death” – Ewald Nowotny, governor of Austrian central bank and member of ECB’s governing council – “I was born in 1944. When I was a baby, my mother could only buy food because she still had some gold coins…” – “When the going gets tough, gold becomes the ultimate money” reports Die Presse Under central bank governor Ewald Nowotny, Austria has brought back half of its gold reserves...
Read More »Nestlé plans to move 580 jobs out of Switzerland
Last week, Nestlé announced plans to cut its Swiss workforce by 580. The plans involve restructuring its IT department, with a focus on extending its technology hub in Spain. Over the next 18 months, this re-organization could lead to a reduction of up to 500 IT positions in Switzerland, said the company. A source close to Nestlé told Le News that around two thirds of the cuts will occur in Vevey and the remaining...
Read More »Dollar and Yen Rise Amid Heightened Anxiety
With what promises to be an acrimonious G7 meeting, from which the isolated US President will depart early, and a broadening pressure in emerging markets, the US dollar turned better bid late yesterday and is recovering further today. Disappointing April industrial production figures in Germany and France did not do the euro any favors. Sterling is faring better than the euro after Prime Minister May survived yet...
Read More »Swiss Government Pension Fund To Buy Gold Bars Worth Some $700 Million
Swiss Government Pension Fund Allocating 2% Of Pension Fund To Gold Bars via IPE Quest The Swiss government pension fund, Switzerland’s AHV/AVS fund, has decided to diversify into physical gold bars in their substantial CHF35.2bn (€30.5bn) pension portfolio. At the end of last week the first pillar buffer fund tendered a custodianship and storage for CHF 700m (EUR 600m / USD 700m / GBP 525m) in gold bars via IPE Quest....
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