Martin Feldstein, Ted Halstead, and Gregory Mankiw (in the New York Times), as well as George Shultz and James Baker III (in the Wall Street Journal) call for a carbon tax. John Cochrane comments on his blog.
Read More »Re-Denomination Risk in France and Italy
On the FT Alphaville blog, Mark Weidemaier and Mitu Gulati argue that re-denomination risk in the Euro zone is most prominent in France and Italy. Bonds with CACs trade at higher prices. Most French and Italian [but not Greek] debt is governed by local law. … the governments could pass legislation redenominating their bonds from euros to francs or lira. … [But] some French and Italian bonds — bonds issued after January 1, 2013, with maturities over a year — have Collective Action Clauses...
Read More »Vollgeld, the Blockchain, and the Future of the Monetary System
Presentation at the Liechtenstein Institute about the Vollgeld initiative, the blockchain revolution, and their possible effects on banks and the monetary system. Report in Liechtensteiner Vaterland, February 1, 2017. HTML. Interview in Wirtschaft Regional, February 4, 2017. PDF.
Read More »Newsletter of the Study Center Gerzensee
The new edition features an interview with Itay Goldstein. PDF.
Read More »Re-denomination Constitutes Default
In a letter to the editor of The Economist, Moritz Kraemer, sovereign chief ratings officer of S&P Global Ratings, clarifies what it would mean for France to re-denominate French debt: Buttonwood wondered whether Marine Le Pen’s plan to re-denominate French government euro bonds into new francs might constitute a sovereign default (January 14th). There is no ambiguity here: it would. If an issuer does not adhere to the contractual obligations to its creditors, including payment in the...
Read More »To Best Serve the Nation and the World
L. Rafael Reif, President of MIT, in an open letter to the MIT community: The Executive Order on Friday appeared to me a stunning violation of our deepest American values, the values of a nation of immigrants: fairness, equality, openness, generosity, courage. The Statue of Liberty is the “Mother of Exiles”; how can we slam the door on desperate refugees? Religious liberty is a founding American value; how can our government discriminate against people of any religion? In a nation made...
Read More »Liechtenstein Fact Check
In the NZZ, Simon Gemperli offers a fact check on Liechtenstein. GDP per employed person: CHF 144’000 (Switzerland: CHF 125’000). 10 countries are even smaller. The people can vote the monarch out of office. Banks contribute a quarter of GDP.
Read More »NAFTA’s Effects on the US
On his blog, Dani Rodrik comments on NAFTA’s implications for US manufacturing and jobs. So here is the overall picture that these academic studies paint for the U.S.: NAFTA produced large changes in trade volumes, tiny efficiency gains overall, and some very significant impacts on adversely affected communities. … Mexico has been one of Latin America’s underperformers. So is Trump deluded on NAFTA’s overall impact on manufacturing jobs? Absolutely, yes. Was he able to capitalize on the...
Read More »Collateral Values in ECB Operations
In the NZZ, Kjell Nyborg questions whether the collateral values of the securities the ECB accepts in monetary policy operations reflect market values. He argues that the valuation is discretionary and politicized. Meine Analyse macht deutlich, dass der Besicherungsrahmen in der Euro-Zone in unterschiedlicher Ausprägung unter all diesen Problemen leidet. Das öffentliche Verzeichnis der zulässigen notenbankfähigen Sicherheiten enthält 30 000 bis 40 000 verschiedene Wertpapiere, von...
Read More »Krypto Currencies and Privacy
On Wired, Andy Greenberger discusses Monero, Dash, and Zcash, krypto currencies that provide more privacy than bitcoin and its derivatives. Unlike commercial services like PayPal, Bitcoin allows anyone to spend money online without providing identifying details. But if someone’s Bitcoin address is linked with their real identity, any transaction from that address is entirely visible on the public blockchain … Hiding those transactions requires taking extra steps, like routing bitcoins...
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