On Econofact, Daniel Bergstresser provides background information on Puerto Rico’s debt crisis. From his text: Unlike U.S. municipalities, a U.S. territory cannot resort to Chapter 9 of the Bankruptcy act. The island’s economy benefited from corporate tax exemptions (until 2006) and from tax exemptions on interest paid by municipal bonds issued by Puerto Rico and its agencies (“triple tax exemption”). Total bond indebtedness (face value) amounts to over $70 billion, about 70 percent of...
Read More »Fintech Regulation in Switzerland: Open Questions
In the NZZ, Jürg Müller reports about the developing regulatory framework for fintechs in Switzerland. A proposal by the federal finance department drew—reasonable—criticism by various lobbies and industry associations, including the CFA Society Switzerland. Die CFA Society Switzerland will das systemrelevante Bankensystem von anderen Finanzdienstleistern trennen. Dafür sei eine präzisere Bankendefinition nötig, als sie heute vorgenommen werde. Nur Banken sollen demnach dem Bankengesetz...
Read More »Zimbabwe’s Monetary Policy
On his blog, JP Koning provides an account of recent monetary policy in Zimbabwe: The country dollarized in 2008. The central bank offered USD deposit accounts for banks, specifically for inter bank payments. But these accounts were not fully backed by USDs, or the central bank rationed access to USDs for other reasons (early 2016). Banks got squeezed, bank customers started a run, and the government imposed withdrawal limits. Retailers started to charge higher prices for “plastic money”...
Read More »Predictors of Default
On Science of Us, Seth Stephens-Davidowitz reports about predictors of loan repayment choices. … language that potential borrowers use is a strong predictor of their probability of paying back. And it is an important indicator even if you control for other relevant information lenders were able to obtain about those potential borrowers, including credit ratings and income. … Here are the phrases used in loan applications by people most likely to pay them back: debt-free, lower interest...
Read More »William Baumol †
On A Fine Theorem, Kevin Bryan reviews Baumol’s work, including on innovation and the cost disease.
Read More »How to Undermine Central Bank Independence
The Economist reported about the history of central banks and their independence. One snippet: Typically, Richard Nixon took the bullying furthest, leaking a false story that Arthur Burns, Martin’s successor, was demanding a 50% pay rise. Attacked by the press, Burns retreated from his desire to raise interest rates.
Read More »Social Insurance in Switzerland
Information from the Swiss Federal Social Insurance Office on the social insurance system in Switzerland: Brief Overview: HTML. Longer overview: PDF. Social Insurance Accounts with links to data, in German (Schweizerische Sozialversicherungsstatistik): PDF. Pocket statistics, in English: PDF. In German: PDF.
Read More »Digital Swiss Francs
The Swiss National Bank held its annual general meeting of shareholders (web TV). In response to one of the questions posed by shareholders Thomas Jordan suggested (2:58–2:59) that possibly a digital Swiss Franc might be introduced sometime in the future.
Read More »DSGE Models for Monetary Policy Analysis
In a VoxEU eBook, Refet Gürkaynak and Cédric Tille collect the views of central bank and academic economists on DSGE models. In the introduction to the eBook, Gürkaynak and Tille summarize these views as follows: … there is agreement on the place of DSGE models in policy analysis. All see these models as part of the policymaker tool kit, while understanding their limitations and perceiving a similar road ahead.
Read More »Money and Credit in Germany
In its April 2017 Quarterly Report, the Deutsche Bundesbank discusses the role of banks in the creation of money. Findings from a wavelet analysis indicate that in Germany, money and credit move in parallel in the long run. In an appendix, the report mentions possible welfare costs of curbing maturity transformation, with reference to Diamond and Dybvig’s work. This is not convincing. Unlike in the typical (microeconomic) banking model, aggregate central bank provided money need not be...
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