SNB & CHF

USD/CHF pulls back to 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. 21-DMA limits near-term upside. Following its U-turn from the 21-day simple moving average (DMA), USD/CHF confronts 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of April-August declines as it takes the bids to 0.9793 ahead of the European session on Wednesday. While 14-bar relative strength index (RSI) shows normal condition, pair’s sustained run-up beyond 0.9800 enables it to challenge the short-term key DMA level of 0.9811. It...

Prospects for emerging-market currencies look cloudy. The currencies of countries with sound external buffers and limited exposure to global trade should fare relatively better than others. In recent months, the global environment has become more challenging for EM currencies. Trade tensions have increased and are weighing on economic activity. Commodity prices have also fallen. Such developments tend to weigh on global appetite for relatively risky EM assets. More...

Satisfied men at work The vast majority of Swiss people enjoy going to work. In a survey by consultants EY, 87% said they were satisfied or very satisfied with their job. Although the figure has barely changed since last year, differences between sectors persist. In the construction industry and in mechanical and systems engineering, for example, satisfaction has increased significantly. In the banking and insurance sectors, on the other hand, it has declined,...

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.13% to 1.0856 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 20(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Global equities and bonds are firmer in quiet turnover, and the dollar is narrowing mixed in narrow ranges. The big events of the week, the eurozone flash PMI and Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole still lie ahead. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose for the third consecutive session, led by...

Vergangene Woche stellte Philipp Hildebrand, der frühere Präsident des Direktoriums der Schweizerischen Nationalbank (SNB), nun Vize-Präsident von Blackrock, auf Bloomberg ein Positionspapier vor. Verfasst hat er dieses zusammen mit anderen Autoren wie Stanley Fischer, ehemaliger stellvertretender Vorsitzender der US Federal Reserve (FED). Hildebrands Vorschlag: Geld- und Fiskalpolitik sollen miteinander verschmelzen. Den Bürgerinnen und Bürgern soll Geld direkt...

We do not like Purchasing Power or Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) as measurement for currencies. For us, the trade balance decides if a currency is overvalued. Only the trade balance can express productivity gains, while the REER assumes constant productivity in comparison to trade partners. Who has read Michael Pettis, knows that a rising trade surplus may also be caused by a higher savings rate while the trade partners decided to spend more. This is partially...

USD/CHF seesaws near two-week high amid overbought RSI conditions. A confluence of six-day-old rising trend-line, 4H 200MA adds to the resistance. The USD/CHF pair’s one-week-old recovery seems to fade as the quote seesaws near 0.9814 during the Asian session on Tuesday. Not only repeated failures to cross 50% Fibonacci retracement of current month declines but overbought conditions of 14-bar relative strength index (RSI) also increases the odds of its pullback....

The Chinese have been reforming their monetary and credit system for decades. Liberalization has been an overriding goal, seen as necessary to accompany the processes which would keep the country’s economic “miracle” on track. Or get it back on track, as the case may be. Authorities had traditionally controlled interest rates through various limits and levers. It wasn’t until October 2004, for example, that the upper limit on lending rates was rescinded. In August...