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Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.05% to 1.0926 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 7(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The global capital markets are uneasy as the risks that have dominated investors’ concerns–trade and Brexit–remain front and center today. Expectations are low that this week’s talks between the US and China will lead to a breakthrough or will be sufficient to postpone further the next...

Many high-income countries experienced little growth but strong price pressures in the 1970s. Since the mainstream economics said the two were mutually exclusive, a new term had to be created, hence stagflation. Fast forward almost half a century later, and mainstream economists are still having a problem deciphering the linkages between prices and economic activity, such as inflation and employment. Theory needs to accommodate the new facts. Theory is being...

File photo of former Credit Suisse (and UBS) CEO Oswald Grübel, who’s German, by the way (Keystone / Walter Bieri) In an interview with the newspaper NZZ am Sonntag, former Credit Suisse CEO Oswald Grübel has criticized the large Swiss bank for its handling of the current crisis. By maintaining that CEO Tidjane Thiam was unaware of the spying affair, the bank is harming the Swiss financial sector, Grübel said in an interview published on Sunday. Foreign media are...

The dollar rally has been derailed by weak US data and rising recession fears The September jobs data was not a game-changer and so we are left waiting for more clues Believe it or not, the US economy remains solid; however, the US repo market has not fully normalized yet The Chinese trade delegation arrives in Washington Thursday for two days of trade talks Brexit optimism has worn off; there are several key EM events . The dollar rally has been derailed by weak US...

Maybe it was a sign of things to come, a warning how it wasn’t going to go as planned. Then again, when it comes to something like quantitative easing there really is no plan. Other than to make it sound like there is one, that’s really the whole idea. Not what it really is and what it actually does, to make it appear like there’s substance to it. After experimenting with NIRP for the first time and then adding a bunch of sterilized asset purchases in 2014, Europe’s...

The Swiss canton of Vaud has managed to balance its 2020 budget with a small surplus of 76,000 francs. This is the 14th time in row that the canton’s budget has been in the black. Vaud’s parliament building At the same time planned spending is up by 2.43%, well ahead of Swiss inflation – prices were lower in September 2019 than they were in September 2018. A tax rate rise is planned and some complain the canton’s taxpayers are getting a raw deal. The canton expects...

USD/CHF seesaws around 23.6% Fibonacci retracement after witnessing multiple failures to cross 1.0030. A nine-day-old rising trend-line, followed by a confluence of 200-HMA/50% Fibonacci retracement limits near-term declines. Despite witnessing pullbacks from 1.0030, USD/CHF is yet to slip beneath key supports as it clings to 0.9985 during early Friday. The pair seesaws near 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of its upswing from last Tuesday and can revisit 38.2% Fibonacci...

Around one in seven Swiss say they have been hacked at some time or another. (Keystone / Sascha Steinbach) Hackers successfully attacked the website of the Swiss Consumer Protection Foundation last month, placing links to fake stores within the agency’s online shopping pages. The hack was detected within two hours and the malicious links were removed, said the foundationexternal link, which regularly warns consumers about online fraud. The agency said it was unlikely...

While the world’s attention was fixated on US$ repo for once, the Bank of Japan held a policy meeting and turned in an even more “dovish” performance. Likely the global central bank plan had been to combine the Fed’s second rate cut with what amounted to a simultaneous Japanese pledge for more “stimulus” in October. Both of those followed closely an ECB which got itself back in the QE business once more. But all that likely coordinated “accommodation” was spoiled...

Canton Obwalden’s low tax rates attract companies and millionaires (Keystone) European Union finance ministers are set to remove Switzerland and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) from the bloc’s lists of countries deemed to act as tax havens, an EU document said. On October 10 they are expected to remove Switzerland from the grey list that includes countries that have committed to change their tax rules to make them compliant with EU standards. Switzerland has delivered...