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Lagarde Channels Past Self As To Japan Going Global

As France’s Finance Minister, Christine Lagarde objected strenuously to Ben Bernanke’s second act. Hinted at in August 2010, QE2 was finally unleashed in November to global condemnation. Where “trade wars” fill media pages today, “currency wars” did back then. The Americans were undertaking beggar-thy-neighbor policies to unfairly weaken the dollar. The neighbor everyone though most likely to be sponged off of was Europe. The day after the Fed’s second launch,...

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Risk Assets Rally as Major Tail Risks Ease

The biggest tail risks impacting markets this year have cleared up; risk assets are rallying, while safe haven assets are selling off During the North American session, US November retail sales will be reported Russia central bank cut rates 25 bp to 6.25%, as expected Bank of Japan released a mixed Q4 Tankan report The dollar is broadly lower against the majors as tail risk evaporates.  Nokkie and sterling are outperforming, while Aussie and yen are...

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FX Daily, December 13: Stunning Tory Victory and US-China Trade Boosts Risk Assets

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.21% to 1.0964 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The combination of a US-China trade deal and exit polls showing the Tories securing a majority in the House of Commons boosted risk assets, sent sterling flying, and the euro sharply higher.  Separately, the Fed stepped up its efforts to make as smooth as possible funding over the...

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Referenzzins – SNB-Direktorin Maechler drängt auf rasche Saron-Umstellung

Andréa M. Maechler, Mitglied des Direktoriums der Schweizerischen Nationalbank. Die Schweizerische Nationalbank hat vor einem halben Jahr den SNB-Leitzins eingeführt, weil der zuvor verwendete Referenzzins Libor ein Ablaufdatum hat. Seither haben die Währungshüter den Saron im Fokus. Dieser soll von den Marktteilnehmern nun konsequenter verwendet werden. Für die Finanzmärkte sei diesbezüglich insbesondere ein Saron-basierter Swapmarkt wichtig, sagte...

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Geldpolitik – Trotz steigender Kritik: Schweizerische Nationalbank lässt Negativzins unverändert

[caption id="attachment_362313" align="alignleft" width="400"] Thomas Jordan, Präsident der SNB. Bild: Bloomberg[/caption] Die Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB) belässt den Leitzins auf dem seit fast fünf Jahren geltenden Rekordtief von minus 0,75 Prozent. Das gab die SNB am Donnerstag an ihrer vierteljährlich stattfindenden geldpolitschen Lagebeurteilung bekannt. Die Sichteinlagen von Banken bei der Notenbank ab einem gewissen Freibetrag werden...

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Can Swiss business and human rights co-exist?

Swiss President Ueli Maurer meets Russian leader Vladimir Putin, November 2019. (Keystone / Alexei Druzhinin / Sputnik / Kre) Switzerland performs a delicate dance when it comes to promoting business interests, maintaining neutrality and defending human rights. Daniel Warner looks at recent examples and the stakes at play. Doing business with other countries and promoting human rights can and do go hand in hand, Swiss State Secretary for Foreign Affairs Pascale...

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The FOMC Channels China’s Xi As To Japan Going Global

The massive dollar eruption in the middle of 2014 altered everything. We’ve talked quite a lot about what Euro$ #3 did to China; it sent that economy into a dive from which it wouldn’t escape. And in doing so convinced the Chinese leadership to give growth one more try before changing the game entirely once stimulus inevitably failed. In many other places around the world it has been the same. Not just developing economies, either. You wouldn’t have known from how...

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Why Central Banks Aren’t Really Setting Interest Rates

Mainstream thinking considers the central bank a key factor in the determination of interest rates. By setting short-term interest rates, the central bank, it is argued, can influence the entire interest rate structure by creating expectations about the future course of its interest rate policy. In this way of thinking, the long-term rate is an average of current and expected short-term interest rates. If today’s one-year rate is 4 percent and the next year’s...

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FX Daily, December 12: Enguard Lagarde

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.08% to 1.0946 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.comeur - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: With the FOMC meeting delivered no surprises, attention turns to the ECB meeting as the UK go to the polls. Lagarde will hold her first press conference as ECB president today, and it will naturally command attention. Equities are advancing today, and tech appears to be leading...

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Monetary policy assessment of 12 December 2019

Swiss National Bank leaves expansionary monetary policy unchanged The Swiss National Bank is keeping the SNB policy rate and interest on sight deposits at the SNB at −0.75%. It remains willing to intervene in the foreign exchange market as necessary, while taking the overall currency situation into consideration. The expansionary monetary policy continues to be necessary given the inflation outlook in Switzerland. The trade-weighted exchange rate of the Swiss franc...

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