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Tag Archives: newsletter

Noninterventionism Is Not Isolationism: The US Government Should Stop Arming Ukraine

Proponents of arming Ukraine against Russia call critics “isolationists” as a pejorative term. But these “entangling alliances” have a history of sad endings with tragic results. Original Article: “Noninterventionism Is Not Isolationism: The US Government Should Stop Arming Ukraine” Libertarians, liberty-wing Republicans, and other opponents of nondefensive wars are popularly misconceived as having an “every man for himself” approach to both economics and...

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Crude Contradictions Therefore Uncertainty And Big Volatility

This one took some real, well, talent. It was late morning on April 11, the crude oil market was in some distress. The price was falling faster, already down sharply over just the preceding two weeks. Going from $115 per barrel to suddenly less than $95, there was some real fear there. But what really caught my attention was the flattening WTI futures curve. Up in the liquid front, it was closing in on contango and had it achieved that reshaping it would have been,...

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Switzerland grew more cereals in 2021

In 2021, the area under cereals (146 400 ha) increased by 3% compared with 2020, while that under potatoes (-2%) and sugar beet (-8%) decreased. The number of farms (48 864) fell further, while organic farming continued to grow. While the number of dairy cows stabilised, the number of poultry continued its upward trajectory (+1.1%). Furthermore, 150 200 people (+0.5%) worked on farms in Switzerland. These results are taken from the farm structure survey 2021...

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The Russo-Ukrainian War: A New Opportunity for Demagogues to Destroy Freedoms at Home

Politicians thoroughly enjoy times of war. Periods of bellicosity are when the most power-hungry members of the political class indulge in their most depraved political fantasies. The Russo-Ukrainian War has been no exception to this trend. Western politicians have been taking advantage of the largest conventional military conflict on European soil since World War II to crack down on civil liberties at home and drag their countries closer to an open conflict with a...

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44 Länder treffen sich in El Salvador

El Salvador ist zum Pilotprojekt für die internationale Finanzwelt geworden. Nachdem das kleine Land Bitcoin als legales Zahlungsmittel eingeführt hat, ist es nicht nur im Internet berühmt geworden, El Salvador ist auf dem Radar vieler Länder aufgetaucht – mit großem Interesse verfolgt man, wie sich der BTC im Land entwickelt. Nun wollen insgesamt 44 Länder vor Ort sehen, wie El Salvador Bitcoin in sein Finanz- und Wirtschaftssystem eingebunden hat. Bitcoin News: 44...

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Residential property prices fell by 0.4% in 1st quarter 2022

17.05.2022 – The Swiss residential property price index (IMPI) fell in the 1st quarter 2022 compared with the previous quarter by 0.4% and reached 110.3 points (4th quarter 2019 = 100). Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, inflation was 7.0%. These are some of the results from the Federal Statistical Office (FSO). The decline in the IMPI in comparison with the previous quarter is the result of contrasting developments in the market for single-family...

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Checking In On Five Long-Term Cycles

The decline phase of S-Curves can be gradual or a cliff-dive. Way back in 2007 I charted five long-wave cycles that I reckoned consequential: 1. Public debt (accumulating federal deficits) 2. Inflation 3. Oil (energy) 4. Interest rates 5. Speculative fever Fifteen years ago, my chart look-ahead was about three years, to 2010, with the basic idea being that these long-term cycles had already turned or were about to turn. Looking back, I should have added a few...

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Federal Reserve Policies Aimed at Creating Price Stability Bring About Economic Instability

For most economists and politicians, the role of central bank authorities is to make the economy as stable as possible. What do they mean by economic stability? Economic stability refers to an absence of excessive fluctuation, so an economy with constant output growth and low and stable price inflation is likely to be regarded as stable. An economy with frequent boom-bust cycles and variable price inflation would be considered unstable. According to popular thinking,...

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Freedom and Sound Money: Two Sides of a Coin

It is impossible to grasp the meaning of the idea of sound money if one does not realize that it was devised as an instrument for the protection of civil liberties against despotic inroads on the part of governments. Ideologically it belongs in the same class with political constitutions and bills of right. So wrote Ludwig von Mises in The Theory of Money and Credit in 1912. And further: The sound-money principle has two aspects. It is affirmative in approving the...

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Curveballs in the Housing Bubble Bust

All these curveballs will further fragment the housing market. Oh for the good old days of a nice, clean housing bubble and bust as in 2004-2011: subprime lending expanded the pool of buyers, liar loans and loose credit created speculative leverage, the Federal Reserve provided excessive liquidity and the watchdogs of the industry were either induced (ahem) to look away or dozed off in a haze of gross incompetence. The bubble burst was also straightforward:...

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