Tag Archives: FX Trends

Comment on GBP and CHF by Dayle Littlejohn My articles My siteAbout meMy booksFollow on: Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 28(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Since the UK public decided to vote out of the European Union GBP/CHF exchange rates have dropped 22 cents. To put this into monetary value a 200,000 Swiss Franc purchase now costs an extra £26,000 and I believe...

Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: Many see Yellen and Fischer at odds over benefits of high pressure economy. However, this fails to put the comments in the proper context–same message different styles. They are arguing against the doves who don’t want to hike this year. Many observers are...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF rates have levelled out over the past couple of weeks following some heavy losses earlier this month. The Pound crashed following UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s comments regarding the triggering of Article 50 early next year. Whilst we knew this was coming the timeline was shrouded in uncertainty and the...

Summary: Interest rates and 10-year break-evens are rising. Some think the CRB Index is tracing out a head and shoulders bottom. We look for inflation in non-tradable goods’ prices (think services). Bond yields are rising. The break-even rates, which compare conventional yields to the inflation-linked securities are also rising. These developments, which we do not think can be attributed to central bank...

Swiss Franc After touching 1.08, which apparently the “new floor”, the SNB moved the EUR/CHF upwards yesterday and Monday. Today’s EUR recovery against USD, let also the EUR/CHF rise. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 26(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar’s upside momentum reversed in North America yesterday and has been sold in Asia and Europe. This seems like mostly...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 25 2016(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). Source: Investing.com - Click to enlarge The pound had started the week looking more upbeat against the Swiss Franc but soon came under pressure just before Bank of England Governor Mark Carney met with a House of Lords committee about Brexit. There was a sudden 1% fall in the price of sterling in the minutes prior to the...

EUR/CHF The SNB might have been behind the jump from 1.08 towards 1.823 in the last two days. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 25 2016(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). Source: Investing.com - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF The pound had started the week looking more upbeat against the Swiss Franc but soon came under pressure just before Bank of England Governor Mark Carney met with a House of Lords committee about...

Summary: Mainland demand for HK shares has dried up this month. EMU growth may accelerate in Q4, while the collective deficit continues to fall. German fertility rate increased last year. Here is to the serendipity of learning: 1. Chinese buying of Hong Kong shares has dried up this month compared with the record equivalent of $8 bln in September. So far this month’s purchases are less than $1 bln. In...

Summary: Mainland demand for HK shares has dried up this month. EMU growth may accelerate in Q4, while the collective deficit continues to fall. German fertility rate increased last year. Here is to the serendipity of learning: 1. Chinese buying of Hong Kong shares has dried up this month compared with the record equivalent of $8 bln in September. So far this month’s purchases are less than $1 bln. In...

Summary: The yuan has weakened and Chinese shares have sold off, yet global capital markets are taking little notice. August 2015 and again in January 2016, markets seemed to be hypersensitive. Yuan’s decline has been modest, orderly, and not eliciting a negative response by policymakers, including US Treasury Dept. There were two dogs that did not bark this year. There are the Japanese yen, which despite...