Tag Archives: Europe and Euro Crisis

As global markets bask in the glow of the Trumpflation recovery, the ECB continues to be busy providing the actual levitating power behind what DB recently dubbed global “helicopter money“, by buying copious amounts of bonds on a daily basis (at least until tomorrow when the ECB goes on brief monetization hiatus, and Italy will be on its own for the next two weeks). According to the latest weekly breakdown of what the...

Summary: Purchases increased for longer but at a lower level; overall, more purchases than anticipated. Euro spiked higher on the announcement, but has subsequently dropped 2 cents. Lower inflation forecast for 2019 shows scope for a further extension. Mario Draghi - Click to enlarge The ECB announced it would extend its asset purchases from April through December next year, but at a modestly slower pace of 60...

Summary: Purchases increased for longer but at a lower level; overall, more purchases than anticipated. Euro spiked higher on the announcement, but has subsequently dropped 2 cents. Lower inflation forecast for 2019 shows scope for a further extension. Mario Draghi - Click to enlarge The ECB announced it would extend its asset purchases from April through December next year, but at a modestly slower pace of 60...

Marc Chandler - Click to enlarge Tired of reading what analysts are saying? Here is a 4.3 minute video clip of my discussion earlier today on Bloomberg TV about the outlook for tomorrow’s ECB meeting. The discussion covers various aspects of the ECB’s decision. There does seem to be a broad consensus, which is always a good news/bad news story. Last December, you may recall there also was a consensus, and although...

Marc Chandler - Click to enlarge Tired of reading what analysts are saying? Here is a 4.3 minute video clip of my discussion earlier today on Bloomberg TV about the outlook for tomorrow’s ECB meeting. The discussion covers various aspects of the ECB’s decision. There does seem to be a broad consensus, which is always a good news/bad news story. Last December, you may recall there also was a consensus, and although...

Summary: ECB will likely extend asset purchases in full. It may modify the rules by which it buys securities. It may adjust the rules of engagement for its securities lending program. The ECB meets tomorrow. The meeting is live in the sense that the central bank is widely expected to take fresh actions, ostensibly backed by new staff forecasts. There are three broad areas that the ECB is expected to address....

Summary: The ECB accepts Greek bonds as collateral but does not include them in its asset purchases. A new staff-level agreement by the end of the year could change that. Finance ministers imply that Greece’s debt is sustainable, but the IMF disagrees. The ECB does not include Greek bonds in its sovereign bond purchase operation. However, the progress is being made, and it is possible that starting early next...

L’Eurosystem fait sauter les frontières nationales et unifie le système du trafic de paiement… Lors des échanges commerciaux et interbancaires, il y a des banques émettrices de monnaie et vis-à-vis une banque réceptrice. Normalement, à la fin de la journée, tout cela devrait être ramené à l’équilibre. Ceci n’est plus le cas depuis la crise américaine de 2007 (subprimes) comme nous le voyons sur le graphique...

Summary: Italy is the epicenter of the next potential populist “shock.” A defeat of the referendum is seen as intensifying the political risk. Renzi has wavered again regarding his political future if the referendum loses. Many investors are closely watching Italy. It is seen as the next flashpoint for the wave of populism after Brexit and Trump’s success. The constitutional referendum will be held on...

Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: Most economists are focusing on either US monetary policy or US fiscal policy. We focus on the policy mix. After the policy mix, politics is also a weigh on the euro. Our long-term call is for the euro to revisit the lows from 2000. The euro has...