Saturday , April 27 2024
Home / SNB & CHF / Swiss National Bank monetary policy meeting preview

Swiss National Bank monetary policy meeting preview

Summary:
The SNB announcement is due on Thursday at 0730 GMT. This in brief via Standard Chartered: expect SNB to hike by 100bp Stan Chart were at +50bp but have ramped their expectation much higher. Add that this takes: the base rate to 0.75% from -0.25%, and out of negative territory for the first time since 2014 More: We believe positive currency rhetoric from the SNB and increasing hawkishness among major central banks support our larger-than-consensus rate hike forecast; most economists are predicting a 75bps hike, though markets are pricing in around an 86bps step Note the SNB monetary policy committee (MPC) sets rates only once every quarter; we forecast a further 50bps of hikes each at the ECB’s October and December meetings. We see a further 75bps of tightening by

Topics:
Eamonn Sheridan considers the following as important: , , ,

This could be interesting, too:

Vibhu Vikramaditya writes Navigating the Slippery Slope: How Hoover’s Interventions Paved the Way for the Great Depression

Ryan McMaken writes Frédéric Bastiat Was a Radical Opponent of War and Militarism

Douglas French writes Millennials: In Costco We Trust

Joseph T. Salerno writes What Fed “Independence” Really Means

Swiss National Bank monetary policy meeting previewThe SNB announcement is due on Thursday at 0730 GMT.

This in brief via Standard Chartered:

  • expect SNB to hike by 100bp

Stan Chart were at +50bp but have ramped their expectation much higher. Add that this takes:

  • the base rate to 0.75% from -0.25%, and out of negative territory for the first time since 2014

More:

  • We believe positive currency rhetoric from the SNB and increasing hawkishness among major central banks support our larger-than-consensus rate hike forecast; most economists are predicting a 75bps hike, though markets are pricing in around an 86bps step
  • Note the SNB monetary policy committee (MPC) sets rates only once every quarter; we forecast a further 50bps of hikes each at the ECB’s October and December meetings. We see a further 75bps of tightening by the SNB in December, taking the base rate to 1.5% by end-2022 (previously 0.25%), followed by a final 50bps of hikes in Q1-2023 to a terminal rate of 2.0%

SNB Governor Jordan


Tags: ,,

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *