If the “experts” were assessed on results, they’d all be fired. The mainstream media continually hypes the authority of “experts,” i.e. people with a stack of credentials from top institutions. But does the mainstream media ever check on whether the “experts” got anything right? Let’s compare the “experts” (conventional PhD economists) diagnoses and fixes with the results of their policies. Let’s stick to the big...
Read More »Populism in America: “Follow the Money”
If you want to understand today’s populism, don’t look to the mainstream media’s comically buffoonish propaganda blaming the Russians: look at the four issues listed below. One of the most disturbing failures of the mainstream media in this election cycle was its complete lack of historical context for Trump’s brand of populism.If you consumed the mainstream media’s coverage of the campaign and election, you noted their...
Read More »FX Daily, October 28: Dollar Sidelined, Krona Stabilizes, Rates Firm
Comment on GBP and CHF by Dayle Littlejohn My articles My siteAbout meMy booksFollow on: Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 28(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Since the UK public decided to vote out of the European Union GBP/CHF exchange rates have dropped 22 cents. To put this into monetary value a 200,000 Swiss Franc purchase now costs an extra £26,000 and I believe...
Read More »End Of The Bond Bull – Better Hope Not
It’s been really busy as of late to cover all of the topics I have wanted to address. One topic, in particular, is the bond market and the ongoing concerns of a “bond bubble” due to historically low interest rates in the U.S. and, by direct consequence, historically high bond prices. Bob Bryan, via Business Insider, recently penned the following note: “Bond yields are low. Historically low. Yields on government bonds...
Read More »The Dying Middle Class
Largest Theft in History As expected, Ms. Yellen smiled last week, announcing no change to the Fed’s extraordinary policies. For the last eight years, she has been aiding and abetting the largest theft in history. Thanks to ZIRP (zero-interest-rate policy) and QE (quantitative easing), every year, about $300 billion is transferred from largely middle-class savers to largely better-off speculators, financial asset...
Read More »Labour Productivity, Taxes and Okun’s Law
[unable to retrieve full-text content]The great “science” of economics once discovered an empirical relationship between GDP and unemployment that has been dubbed Okun’s Law. It simply states that the unemployment rate rises as GDP contracts, or vice versa, as production shrinks less peo...
Read More »FX Daily, July 29: Kuroda Hesitates, Yen Advances, Focus Turns to Europe and North America
Prospects for the Swiss Economy Remain Favourable The KOF Economic Barometer has only changed little and reached a value of 102.7 in July. In June, and therefore before the referendum in the United Kingdom about its membership in the EU, the KOF Economic Barometer stood at a value of 102.6 (revised from 102.4). Thus the Barometer has been standing above the historical average since February this year. Despite the...
Read More »Will the U.S. Stock Market give birth to its own Black Swan?
At 2099.06 points the S&P 500 is now in a confirmed uptrend and on the cusp of attacking the 19 April high of 2100.80. If it conquers this pressure point, the index will enter a zone of resistance up to 2126.64 points. This range will certainly be treated by the market with due trepidation, when it returns from the Memorial Day holiday on Tuesday! According to my stochastics indicator, the market appears to be over-bought and my Grail momentum indicator is swinging a bit to the...
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