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Tag Archives: newslettersent

FX Daily, August 03: Dollar-Bloc Currencies Turning, but Euro Downticks Limited

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.10% to 1.1496 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 03(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The high-flying dollar-bloc currencies may be a preliminary sign market change. The US dollar is gaining on the Canadian dollar for the fourth consecutive session.  It is probing resistance we identified in the $1.2620 area.  The US...

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Cool Video: Dollar Drivers on Bloomberg

I had the privilege to be at Bloomberg today and discussed with Vonnie Quin and Mark Barton. A clip to the Cool Video can be found here. There were three talking points. First was the observation that while the President took credit for the record stock market, the strength of the economy, the low unemployment rate, and business confidence, there was no mention of the dollar, which poised to close lower for its seventh...

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Greenspan Warns Stagflation Like 1970s “Not Good For Asset Prices”

Former Fed Chairman warns of bond bubble, stagflation “Moving into a … stagflation not seen since the 1970s” This will not be “good for asset prices” 10 Yr Gov bond yields fell from 15.8% in 1981 to 2.3% Interest rates will not stay low, will rise ‘reasonably fast’ “Normal” interest rates in 4%-5% range Inflation will not stay at historically low levels Gold “protects savings” and is “store of value” Gold is the...

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Winning: U.S. Crushes All Other Countries In Latest Obesity Study

When President Trump promised last fall that under a Trump administration America would “would win so much you’ll get tired of winning,” we suspect this is not what he had in mind.  According to the latest international obesity study from the Organization For Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), America is by far the fattest nation in the world with just over 38% of the adult population considered ‘obese.’ Here...

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Views From the Top of the Skyscraper Index

Views From the Top of the Skyscraper Index On a warm Friday Los Angeles morning in spring of 2016, we found ourselves standing at the busy corner of Wilshire Boulevard and South Figueroa Street.  We were walking back to our office following a client wire brushing for events beyond our control.  But we had other thoughts on our mind. Standing amid a mob of pedestrians, we gazed up at the skeleton frame of what would...

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Swiss Banks Paid Out €1 Billion In Negative Interest Rates In The First Half

Overnight, the Swiss National Bank disclosed the composition and breakdown of its FX reserves as of June 30. There were no notable changes, as the central bank kept most of its asset allocations unchanged from the previous quarter, with equities, government bonds and “other bonds”, at 20%, 68% and 12% respectively. There were also no shifts in the currency composition as shown in the table below. There was one notable –...

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Swiss franc slides 4 percent in one week

© Wirojsid | Dreamstime On 24 July 2017, the Swiss franc was 1.101 to the euro. One week later on 31 July 2017 it was 1.145, according to Bloomberg. Over the month it dropped from 1.095 to 1.145, a drop Reuters described as the biggest monthly drop in six years. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has been working hard to bring down the value of the Swiss franc. Speaking to the newspaper Le Temps last week, SNB president...

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FX Daily, August 01: The Most the Dollar Can Hope for on Turn Around Tuesday is Consolidation

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.41% to 1.14 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 01(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates After taking a step lower in the North American session yesterday, the dollar is consolidating today. The euro is holding above $1.18, and the dollar held JPY110.00. Global equities are mostly higher, while bonds are mixed. Asia-Pacific...

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Bi-Weekly Economic Review: Extending The Cycle

This economic cycle is one of the longest on record for the US, eight years and counting since the end of the last recession. It has also been, as almost everyone knows, a fairly weak expansion, one that has managed to disappoint both bull and bear. Growth has oscillated around a 2% rate for most of the expansion, falling at times perilously close to recession while at others rising tantalizingly close to escape...

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Trade deal further unlocks EU market for Swiss exports

Foreign minister Didier Burkhalter speaking about Swiss-EU relations in June. (Keystone) Switzerland and the European Union today wrapped up negotiations aimed at removing technical barriers to trade for a range of industrial goods. The deal may be a sign that relations are improving between Bern and Brussels. The agreement, announced by the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO), involves the mutual recognition...

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