Swiss restaurants are experiencing a second, and in some cases third shutdown in a year owing to the pandemic. Keystone / Urs Flueeler Half of all hotel and restaurant businesses in Switzerland will go bankrupt by the end of March if they do not receive immediate financial compensation for the effects of coronavirus restrictions, warns the sector’s umbrella organisation. Based on a survey of more than 4,000 of its members, GastroSuisse says 98% of its members need...
Read More »Episode 8: Why The Dollar Isn’t Money – PART 2
In a prior episode, we introduced the distinction between money and fiat currency, discussing what gives the dollar – or any fiat currency – its value. Now, we continue that conversation discussing additional characteristics of money, and illustrate how a false definition of money can lead to a corrupt state that wields blank checks. In this episode: Essential characteristics of money Thinking like a monetary scientist Friction in money & credit Why marginal...
Read More »Let Unsound Money Wither Away
[This is a revised version of written testimony submitted to the the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy and Technology of the Committee on Financial Services, US House of Representatives, “Fractional Reserve Banking and Central Banking as Sources of Economic Instability: The Sound Money Alternative,” June 28, 2012.] Chairman Paul and members of the subcommittee, I am deeply honored to appear before you to testify on the topic of fractional-reserve banking....
Read More »Gold & Silver Charts Point to Higher Prices & Chris Vermeulen
Chris Vermeulen of TheTechnicalTraders.com joins Dave Russell of GoldCore TV. Chris discusses the chart patterns that the long term gold and silver charts are presenting and what he believe that this means for gold, silver and platinum for 2021. Chris is an expert technical analyst and also understands the fundamentals of the precious metals markets and how it acts as financial insurance for your portfolio. Click the video below to watch. [embedded content] You can...
Read More »Dollar Runs Out of Steam as Sterling Leads the Way
The US curve continues to steepen; real US yields have become less negative; UST supply will remain an issue as $38 bln of 10-year notes will be sold today; Brazil reports December IPCA inflation Yields in Europe and UK are following the trend higher in the US markets, but not as fast; Italy is facing another bout of political instability; BOE Governor Bailey pushed back against negative rates Japan’s government will declare a state of emergency for Osaka, Kyoto, and...
Read More »FX Daily, January 12: Markets Catch Collective Breath
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.04% to 1.081 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The capital markets were stabilizing today after dramatic moves yesterday. Equity markets are recovering, and the dollar is paring yesterday’s gains. Most equity markets in the Asia Pacific region rose, though Taiwan, South Korea, and Australia were notable exceptions. Europe’s Dow...
Read More »Fiscal Stimulus vs. Economic Growth
For most experts a key factor that policymakers should be watching is the ratio between actual real output and potential real output. The potential output is the maximum output that the economy could attain if all resources are used efficiently. In Q3 2020, the US real GDP–to–potential US real GDP ratio stood at 0.965 against 1.01 in Q3 2019. A strong ratio (above 1) can be of concern because according to experts it can set in motion inflationary pressures. To...
Read More »FX Daily, January 11: Greenback Extends Recovery
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.04% to 1.0816 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 11(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Julius Ceasar is said to have “crossed the Rubicon” on January 10, 49 BCE, taking the 13th Legion into Rome, defying orders from the Senate, and precipitating the Roman Civil Wat that marked the end of the republic and the birth of the empire. Last week’s events paled in comparison...
Read More »Covid: closing Swiss schools one of most effective measures, says study
The number of Covid cases went down significantly in Switzerland during spring as a result of schools closing, according to a study by ETH Zurich, reported RTS. School closed ©Andrey Zhuravlev -Dreamstime.com - Click to enlarge Researchers at the university analysed anonymised mobile phone data of 1.5 billion movements of the Swiss population between 10 February and 26 April 2020. They used this data to calculate how much certain measures reduced mobility and...
Read More »2021: If It Wasn’t For Bad Luck, We Wouldn’t Have No Luck At All
If we have indeed begun a sustained “reversal of fortune”, it might be prudent to consider the possibility we’re only in the first inning of a sustained run of back luck.In our self-deluded hubris, we reckon we’ve moved beyond the influence of fortune, a.k.a. Lady Luck: our technologies are so powerful and our monetary policies so godlike that nothing as random as luck could ever crush our limitless expansion. Thus does hubris beg for a comeuppance: the greater the...
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