Tag Archives: FX Trends

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 01(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Sterling has made steady gains against the CHF over the past month, in line with improvements made against other major currencies. The Pound has benefited from a strong run of economic data and more positive market sentiment. Whilst the UK economy remains fragile in the eyes of investors, there is no doubt...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 01(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Sterling has made steady gains against the CHF over the past month, in line with improvements made against other major currencies. The Pound has benefited from a strong run of economic data and more positive market sentiment. Whilst the UK economy remains fragile in the eyes of investors, there is no doubt...

Summary: UK could pay for single market access. UK’s position still seems fluid. The Supreme Court will hear the government’s appeal next week. Sterling has been lifted to its best since October 6 on the back of comments by UK’s Brexit Minister Davis.  In answer to questions in Parliament, Davis acknowledged that access to the EU single market might be secured by the UK paying for it. He talked about making a...

Summary: Italy’s referendum defeat is not simply a victory for populist-nationalist forces. Freedom Party victory in Austria is a victory for said forces. Even if Hofer wins, there are sufficient checks that make it difficult to hold EU or EMU referendum. The ADP private sector employment estimate will steal some thunder from the official estimate on Friday. Although the two times do not line up tightly in the...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Rates for buying Swiss Francs dollars remain incredibly subdued post Brexit but there has been a general improvement over the last month. Rates for the moment appear to have found support over 1.24 for GBP CHF and this has largely come about following the Trump US presidential election victory. Despite a leaked...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Rates for buying Swiss Francs dollars remain incredibly subdued post Brexit but there has been a general improvement over the last month. Rates for the moment appear to have found support over 1.24 for GBP CHF and this has largely come about following the Trump US presidential election victory. Despite a leaked...

Summary: The dot plots are not FOMC commitments or an aggregate view of the FOMC. They are a collection of individual economic forecasts based on the most likely scenario and their view of appropriate policy. The SEP is useful for understanding how Fed officials view the long-term economic parameters, which appears to explain the downward shift in the long-term equilibrium rate for Fed funds. Former Fed chief...

Summary: The dot plots are not FOMC commitments or an aggregate view of the FOMC. They are a collection of individual economic forecasts based on the most likely scenario and their view of appropriate policy. The SEP is useful for understanding how Fed officials view the long-term economic parameters, which appears to explain the downward shift in the long-term equilibrium rate for Fed funds. Former Fed chief...

Summary: US Q3 was revised higher mostly due to consumption. Business investment was a drag. Profits rose to snap a five-quarter slide. The US economy now is estimated to have expanded by 3.2% in Q3, up from the initial estimate of 2.9%, and is the fasted in since Q3 2014.  The average quarterly growth rate this year is 1.8% compared with 1.9% last year.  The Federal Reserve estimates trend growth or the...

Summary: US Q3 was revised higher mostly due to consumption. Business investment was a drag. Profits rose to snap a five-quarter slide. The US economy now is estimated to have expanded by 3.2% in Q3, up from the initial estimate of 2.9%, and is the fasted in since Q3 2014.  The average quarterly growth rate this year is 1.8% compared with 1.9% last year.  The Federal Reserve estimates trend growth or the...