◆ Gold could rise to more than $7,000 an ounce according to respected MoneyWeek contributor and fund manager Charlie Morris (Part I today and Part II tomorrow) A year ago, in my occasional free newsletter, Atlas Pulse, I upgraded gold – which was trading at $1,239 an ounce at that point – to “bull market” status for the first time since 2012. Unlike the gold bugs, I’m not a broken record. And unlike the barbarous relic brigade, I recognise gold’s importance in the...
Read More »FX Daily, January 7: Geopolitical Angst Eases, Helps Equities and Underpins the Greenback
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.10% to 1.0827 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 7(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Without fresh escalation, investors cannot maintain a heightened sense of geopolitical anxiety. The recovery of US shares yesterday set the tone for today’s rebound in Asia and Europe. All the equity markets in the Asia Pacific region rallied today, led by a 1.6% rally in Japan and a...
Read More »Swiss Consumer Price Index in December 2019: +0.2 percent YoY, +0.4 percent MoM
07.01.2020 – The consumer price index (CPI) remained stable in December 2019 compared with the previous month, remaining at 101.7 points (December 2015 = 100). Inflation was +0.2% compared with the same month of the previous year. The average annual inflation reached +0.4% in 2019.These are the results of the Federal Statistical Office (FSO). The average annual inflation for 2019 corresponds to the rate of change between the annual average of the CPI for 2019 and...
Read More »USD/CHF Technical Analysis: Inside descending channel below 200-HMA
USD/CHF clings to 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s downpour from Christmas to December 31. The falling channel, 200-HMA will challenge the Bullish MACD. The current month top will lure the buyers during further upside. The USD/CHF pair’s latest recovery seems to struggle around 0.9690 during early Tuesday. A short-term falling trend channel and prices below 200-Hour Moving Average (HMA) seem to question the recently bullish MACD. As a result, buyers will...
Read More »Hoher Gewinn der SNB weckt Begehrlichkeiten
Die SNB wird am Donnerstag voraussichtlich einen Gewinn von rund 50 Milliarden Franken vermelden. (Bild: Shutterstock.com) Am nächsten Donnerstag publiziert die Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB) ihr Finanzergebnis für das Jahr 2019. Sie dürfte gemäss den Berechnungen der UBS für das Gesamtjahr einen Gewinn von rund CHF 50 Mrd. erzielt haben, im Schlussquartal resultierte hingegen ein Verlust von rund CHF 1 Mrd. Bund und Kantone können mit einer Auszahlung von CHF 2...
Read More »Manufacturing Clears Up Bond Yields
Yesterday, IHS Markit reported that the manufacturing turnaround its data has been suggesting stalled. After its flash manufacturing PMI had fallen below 50 several times during last summer (only to be revised to slightly above 50 every time the complete survey results were tabulated), beginning in September 2019 the index staged a rebound jumping first to 51.1 in that month. Subsequent months of data had continued the trend. By November, the PMI registered 52.6...
Read More »Gold Surges To Test $1,600/oz, Oil Over $70, Stocks Fall on Risks of World War In Middle East
◆ Gold has surged to test $1,600 per ounce, up 4% so far in 2020 and building on the stellar near 18.9% gain in 2019 ◆ Gold is testing it’s highest levels since 2013 as investors diversify into gold; Goldman, Citi and other gold analysts are advocating gold bullion as important hedge in crisis ◆ Oil prices have surged with Brent crude reaching $70 per barrel; concern over oil supplies from Iran, Iraq and other nations as U.S. State Department warns of attacks on...
Read More »Conservation in the Free Market
[This essay is chapter 9 of Egalitarianism as a Revolt against Nature, and Other Essays] It should be no news by this time that intellectuals are fully as subject to the vagaries of fashion as are the hemlines of women’s skirts. Apparently, intellectuals tend to be victims of a herd mentality. Thus, when John Kenneth Galbraith published his best-selling The Affluent Society in 1958, every intellectual and his brother was denouncing America as suffering from undue and...
Read More »FX Daily, January 6: Markets Struggling to Stabilize to Start the New Week
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.06% to 1.0851 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 6(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The global capital markets have yet to stabilize amid heightened geopolitical tension. Even though the US stock market finished last week off its lows, the sell-off continued in the Asia Pacific region. Japan’s markets re-opened after an extended holiday, and the yen, at three-month...
Read More »USD/CHF stalls three-day winning streak amid broad USD pullback
USD/CHF fails to hold onto recovery gains from multi-month lows. Doubts over Iran/Iraq’s capacity to retaliate the US might have shuffled the risk tone. Comments from the NY Fed, GT headlines add to the greenback’s weakness. USD/CHF refrains from extending the recent recovery while trading around 0.9700 during the pre-European session on Monday. The pair seems to portray the recent risk reshuffle and the US catalysts while stepping back from the weekly top. Risk...
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