Tag Archives: Featured

There is a story of war and peace in the contemporary currency markets. It has a main plot and many subplots. As yet, the story is without end. That may come sooner than many now expect. The narrator today has a more challenging job than the teller of the story about neutral, Entente, and Central Power currencies during World War I. (See Brown, Brendan “Monetary Chaos in Europe” chapter 2 [Routledge, 2011].) Today’s Russia war (whether the military conflict in...

Overview: The reverberations from last week continue to roil the capital markets today. Equities and bonds have been sold and the greenback bought. Most of the large markets in Asia Pacific fell by more 2%, including Japan’s Nikkei, Taiwan’s Taiex, and South Korea’s Kospi. Ironically, the Shanghai and Shenzhen Composites eked out minor gains, but the CSI 300 still eased. Europe’s Stoxx 600 is off 1% after falling nearly 1.7% before the weekend. US futures warn of...

The pandemic and the war in Ukraine have fundamentally changed the constraints on monetary policy. Uncertainty has increased strongly in many respects, and there has been a sharp rise in inflation. In June 2022, the SNB raised its policy rate for the first time in 15 years and announced that further increases may be necessary in the foreseeable future. The decision was taken against a backdrop of high uncertainty. Interpreting the current data is difficult,...

Swiss sockets: currently waiting nervously for the winter ahead. © Keystone / Gaetan Bally The head of the Swiss Federal Electricity Commission (Elcom) reckons a winter energy crisis is virtually unavoidable. However, he said the cause of the problem – war in Ukraine – was also difficult to predict. Speaking to SRF public radio on Saturday, Werner Luginbühl said the “exorbitant rise in electricity prices” was already putting certain Swiss businesses into existential...

Gregory (Scotland Yard detective): “Is there any other point to which you would wish to draw my attention?” Sherlock Holmes: “To the curious incident of the dog in the night-time.” Gregory: “The dog did nothing in the night-time.” Sherlock Holmes: “That was the curious incident.” From Silver Blaze by Arthur Conan Doyle, 1892 It is hard to determine sometimes what causes markets to move as they do. Take last Friday’s stock market selloff. The widely cited “reason”...

In Switzerland, almost 1.7 million people were aged 65 or older at the end of 2021, a figure that makes up 19% of the population, according to data published on 28 August 2022. Photo by cottonbro on Pexels.com In 2021, one woman in five and one man in six was aged over 64, according to the Federal Statistical Office (FSO). Switzerland’s dependency ratio, which is the percentage of the population over 64 divided by the working age population1, reached 31.1% in 2021,...

In the previous articles I touched upon the question about subject of global American hegemony and its consequences for freedom. Now let’s look at the problem from another perspective. In the 1980s, Poland viewed the United States as a country capable of defeating the “Evil Empire” (USSR) and thus sowing throughout the Soviet bloc ideas of freedom that were so close to societies tormented by the yoke of communism. Today, Poland’s enthusiasm for the United States and...

It is becoming increasingly clear that UN Nations are realising that it is very difficult to isolate a country that is already a global power. And not just a global power in terms of the military but also in terms of the world’s dependence on its energy exports. However, Russia’s energy exports are not the only thing the West benefits from. One little known fact about Russia is that its highest non-energy export is gold, exporting around $15 billion of gold bullion...

In dieser Woche kam es zu einer weiteren Preiskorrektur für den BTC. Heute ging es sogar seit langem wieder unter die Marke von 20.000 US-Dollar. Ist das ein weiteres Bärensignal oder kommt es zur Trendwende? Bitcoin News: Bitcoin stürzt unter 20K Seit Mitte Juli lag der Preis nicht mehr in diesen Regionen, zuletzt konnte der BTC sogar weiter zulegen. Doch der Preisaufschwung führte uns nicht über 30K. Der Kurs stagnierte, ehe er in der aktuellen Woche sogar...

The US jobs report and ISM data will be key in shaping expectations for the September 21st FOMC meeting. MON: EU Defence Ministers Meeting (1/2), UK Summer Bank Holiday; Australian Retail Sales (Jul), Swedish Trade Balance (Jul). TUE: EU Defence Ministers Meeting (1/2), NBH Policy Announcement; Japanese Unemployment (Jul), German CPI Prelim. (Aug), UK BoE Consumer Credit (Jul), EZ Consumer Confidence Final (Aug), US Consumer Confidence (Aug), JOLTS (Jul). WED:...