Tag Archives: Daily News

The dollar has taken a hit from the weaker than expected data Monday Tariff man is back The US economy remains solid in Q4 but there are some worrying signs for the November jobs data Friday The political pressure on Turkey from the US could increase soon; South Africa’s Q3 GDP came in well below expectations at -0.6% q/q and 0.1% y/y Japan JGB auction went poorly on supply concerns ahead of planned fiscal stimulus; RBA kept rates steady at 0.75% but the outlook was...

The dollar remains resilient; optimism towards a Phase One deal continues to support risk appetite There was also optimism from Fed Chairman Powell yesterday; the US economy is not out of the woods yet Turkish President Erdogan started deploying Russia’s S-400 missile system, raising the specter of sanctions Hong Kong reported weak October trade data; Philippine central bank Governor Diokno said a December cut was possible The dollar is mostly firmer against the...

Pessimism regarding a Phase One trade deal has intensified; further muddying the waters are recent US Congressional actions FOMC minutes contained no surprises; regional Fed manufacturing surveys for November continue South Africa is expected to cut rates by 25 bp to 6.25% Korea reported trade data for the first twenty days of November; Indonesia kept rates steady at 5.0%, as expected The dollar is mostly weaker against the majors in very narrow ranges as markets...

Press reports suggest that the mood in Beijing is pessimistic after President Trump pushed back against tariff rollbacks Fed Chair Powell met with President Trump and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin yesterday Hungary is expected to keep rates steady; the deadline to form a government in Israel is fast approaching RBA released dovish minutes from its November policy meeting The dollar is mostly firmer against the majors as markets await fresh drivers. Kiwi and Stockie are...

US-China relations continue to improve with news of cooperation in a major fentanyl case Eurozone final services and composite PMIs surprised on the upside; UK Parliament will be dissolved today Poland is expected to keep rates steady at 1.5%; Russia October CPI is expected to rise 3.8% y/y China sold €4 bn in its first euro-denominated bond since 2004; Thailand cut rates 25 bp to 1.25%, as expected The dollar is mostly softer against the majors as its recent rally...

The dollar continues to gain traction as the two-day FOMC begins; US political uncertainty has entered a new phase Yesterday marked the third time that UK Prime Minister Johnson lost a vote for elections; he will try again today Weak South Africa data support our call for imminent easing; the threat of sanctions against Turkey are back on the table Lower than expected Tokyo October CPI was reported The dollar is mostly firmer against the majors as the FOMC’s two-day...

The dollar remains under pressure due to weak US retail sales and rising optimism on Brexit and the trade war Brexit negotiations remain tense and we should expect a higher than usual noise-to-signal ratio at this stage China said its goal is to stop the trade war and remove all tariffs US has a full data schedule; we remain constructive on the US economic outlook UK reported September retail sales; Sweden’s unemployment rate hit a 4-year high of 7.4% Australia...

Some cracks have appeared in the market’s risk-on sentiment We continue to believe that recent developments take some pressure off the Fed to cut rates again this month Our base case for a Brexit delay has been strengthened; UK reported weak labor market data The situation is Turkey continues to develop negatively for asset prices; trade data out of China once again showed the impact of the trade war and the resulting global slowdown RBA minutes were released; Japan...

Markets have seized on the possibility of a partial trade deal as well as some hopes that a hard Brexit will be avoided The main event for the day will be President Trump’s meeting with Vice Premier Liu He These market movements (if sustained) will take pressure off of the Fed to cut rates this month The notion of a “pathway” to a Brexit deal continues to capture investors’ imagination The EU will discuss sanctions on Turkey at next week’s summit; oil is up on news...

The dollar staged a stunning comeback yesterday as risk-off took hold on rising geopolitical risk; those risks remain high US-China tensions have risen ahead of trade talks that begin Thursday The US abruptly announced that it would withdraw its troops from northeast Syria US reports September PPI; German IP came in better than expected UK Prime Minister Johnson told Chancellor Merkel that a deal is “essentially impossible” Chinese markets re-opened for trading...