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SNB & CHF

No One Wants a Recession, but Central Banks are willing to Take the Risk to Demonstrate Anti-Inflation Resolve

The week ahead is busy. Three G7 central banks meet, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England. In addition, Japan and Canada report their latest CPI readings, and the flash September PMI are released.  There are three elements of the Fed's meeting that are worth previewing. First is the interest rate decision itself and the accompanying statement. Ironically, this seems to be the most straightforward. Even before the August CPI surprise, the...

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Ethereum Merge erfolgreich

Der Ethereum Merge war erfolgreich, doch der Markt zeigte keine positive Reaktion. ETH verlor im Wochenvergleich deutlich. Währenddessen zeigte die Hashrate des Ethereum Classic eine klare Reaktion. Ethereum News: Ethereum Merge erfolgreichDer ETH verlor mehr als 17 Prozent im Wochenvergleich. Der größte Verlust geschah aber noch vor dem Merge. In den letzten 24 Stunden kamen weitere 3 Prozent Kursverlust hinzu, so dass der ETH das Wochenende mit weniger als 1.500...

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Powell’s Pivot to “Pain” but No Gain: Triggering the Coming Recession

Jay “The Inflation We Caused Is Transitory” Powell finally did it. On Friday, the Fed chair finally mustered the courage to say that he is going to do the job he has been hired to do: the Fed will not “pivot” to cut interest rates until inflation slows meaningfully and persistently—even if the stock, bond, and housing bear markets become much worse and the economy goes into recession. Powell’s Speech Translated Below we provide key quotes from Powell’s Jackson Hole...

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US CPI Data Release Update

It is easy to get caught up in data releases. The media is keen to read a lot into them, hoping it will offer some sense of what is really going on, so often the news is about numbers just announced or expectations for what one economic measure will show from one month to the next.  However, as we outline below, many of the numbers that are released on a frequent and regular basis (CPI and employment, for example) can be misleading. Whether it’s down to the inputs or...

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The Fed Is Wrong to Make Policies Based upon the Phillips Curve

Speaking at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on August 26, 2022, the chair of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, said the Fed must continue to raise interest rates—and keep them elevated for a while—to bring the fastest inflation in decades back under control. Powell said that a tighter interest rate stance is likely to come at a cost to workers and overall growth. However, he holds that not acting would allow price increases to become a more permanent feature of the economy...

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Bill Bonner: America’s Darkest, Coldest Winter Ever…

Someday in the future… perhaps on a particularly cold night… … America’s entire energy system will collapse. Fuel won’t get delivered. Rolling blackouts will sweep the land. Pipes will freeze. Food in the freezer will go bad. You may shiver in the dark… praying for a little power – for weeks. You’ll be one of the lucky ones. Others – with less margin of error – may fare worse. Experts tell us if diesel fuel is cut off, it...

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Bitcoin and Gold in 2022 | Webinar w/ Keith Weiner, Monetary Metals

We welcome the brilliant Keith Weiner to the Bitcoin & Gold in 2022 series. Keith is the Founder of Monetary Metals, a platform which has taken investment in gold to a new level, pioneering yield generation and gold financing. He will be talking to Charlie Morris about the "Money Illusion" and the importance of gold. ByteTree Gold Valuation: https://terminal.bytetree.com/gold/valuation Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/ The BOLD Chart Book:...

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The Dollar Heads into the Weekend Well Bid

Overview:  The dollar is well bid. It has risen to new two-year highs against the dollar bloc and Chinese yuan. Aided by worse than expected retail sales, sterling, on its anniversary of leaving the European Exchange Rate Mechanism fell to its lowest level since 1985. This fits into the broader risk-off move. The S&P 500 fell to new two-month lows yesterday, and FedEx warnings after the bell yesterday add to the string of worrisome comments from leading US...

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Insatiable Government

[This essay, which exposes the big-government policies of the Hoover administration, was first published in the Saturday Evening Post, June 25, 1932.] In the minutes of the Chicago City Council, May 12th last, is the perfect example of how commonly we regard public credit. From bad taxation, reckless borrowing and reckless spending, the city of Chicago had so far prejudiced its own credit that for months it had been unable to meet its municipal payrolls either out...

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The many perils of “Stockholm syndrome” politics

It’s been a tumultuous couple of months in UK politics. After a troubled time in office, plagued by scandal, internal party frictions and much public embarrassment, Boris Johnson exited the stage leaving behind a big old mess for his successor to clean up. An economy in tatters, inflation at record highs and an energy crisis the likes of which this generation hasn’t seen before.  It’s a miracle that anyone in the kingdom could be found that would be...

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