Tag Archives: US job market

Investment and consumption remain the twin engines of US growth.The first estimate for Q3 GDP (3.5% quarter-on-quarter annualised) confirmed that the US business cycle remains solid. Whereas consumption was stronger than in previous quarters, investment was softer than in Q3—but the underlying story is that solid investment continues to support US growth.This data confirms our annual GDP forecast of 3.0%. This remains above the post-financial crisis average growth rate of 2.3%, and above the...

The positive job openings data in the US is a sign that the US economy continues to weather ongoing trade tensions.The latest job openings data release for June brought another positive signal for the longevity of the US business cycle, echoing other encouraging indicators from US data releases, including the July employment report (see our Flash Note and our ‘business cycle score’ derived from monthly payroll data). These data add further support for the continued strength of the US economy...

Growth in US jobs marches on: openings now exceed the numbers of unemployed.The US job market is going from strength to strength. The unemployment rate dropped to 3.8% in May, the lowest since April 2000. And another milestone has been reached as the number of job openings rose to 6.70 million in April, exceeding the number of unemployed people (6.1 million in May, 6.3 million in April)Job openings remain a good leading indicator for future US employment growth, and the ongoing momentum in...