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Tag Archives: Featured

Cash Bans and the Next Crisis

Criminalizing Cash Money sometimes goes “full politics”. Take poor Kenneth Rogoff at Harvard. He wants a dollar with a voter registration card, a U.S. flag on its windshield, and a handgun in its belt – the kind of money that supports the Establishment and votes for Hillary. Writing last month in the Wall Street Journal under the headline “The Sinister Side of Cash”, he noted that: “Paper currency, especially large...

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FX Daily, September 14: Precarious Stabilization

Swiss Franc Swiss ZEW expectations came in better than expected. The value was +2.7 instead of expected negative value. Switzerland ZEW Expectations (see more posts on Switzerland ZEW Expectations, )Switzerland ZEW Expectations. Click to enlarge. FX Rates The US dollar advanced yesterday and is in narrow ranges with a mostly softer bias today. The exception is the Japanese yen. Japanese press have reported that...

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Richemont, Hermes slump as gloom deepens for luxury-goods makers

The crisis in the global luxury-goods industry deepened after Hermes International SCA abandoned a long-standing forecast and Richemont predicted a profit plunge that Chairman Johann Rupert deemed unacceptable. Cartier in Hong Kong © Bankoo | Dreamstime.com Richemont, the maker of Cartier jewelry, said first-half operating profit will probably decline about 45 percent and warned it may have to deepen cost cuts. Kelly...

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Great Graphic: Net Mexican Migration to the US–Not What You Might Think

Summary: Net migration of Mexicans into the US has fallen for a decade. The surge in Mexican migration into the US followed on the heels of NAFTA. Although Trump has bounced in the polls, and some see this as negative for the peso, rising US interest rates and the slide in oil price are more important drivers. There has been much discussion in the US presidential campaign about immigration, especially from...

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Rogoff Warns “Cash Is Not Forever, It’s A Curse”

Submitted by Christoph Gisiger via Finanz und Wirtschaft, Kenneth Rogoff, Professor of Public Policy at Harvard University, postulates to get rid of cash. In his opinion, killing big bills would hamper organized crime and make negative interest more effective. Kenneth Rogoff makes a provocative proposal. One of the most influential economists on the planet, he wants to phase out cash. «Paper currency lies at...

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Seven years of inaction on SNB rates day won’t end this week

Swiss National Bank, © Swisshippo | Dreamstime.com Anyone feeling let down that the European Central Bank didn’t do much last week might just want to skip the Swiss rate decision on Thursday to avoid more disappointment. While the Swiss National Bank may be infamous for some seismic policy changes in the last few years, those bombshells weren’t dropped at scheduled meetings. In fact, the last time the institution...

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Thoughts on the Price Action

Summary: Global interest rates are rising. Something important is happening. It appears to be dollar positive. Price is Right – click to enlarge. The market has not changed its mind. Following Brainard’s comments yesterday the market had downgraded the chances, which were already modest, of a Fed hike next week.  The September Fed funds futures is unchanged on the day.  The implied yield of 41 bp matches the...

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Strong Swiss growth lessens chance SNB will act

Macroview Stronger-than-forecast growth means the central bank is unlikely to alter monetary policy this month Switzerland: Real GDP Growth Swiss real GDP growth data surprised on the upside in Q2, expanding by 0.6% q-o-q (and 2.5% q-o-q annualised). In addition, growth in the three previous quarters was revised significantly higher. As a result, our GDP growth forecast for growth in Switzerland rises mechanically...

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It’s Time to Bring Back Bernie

Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump This tells you everything you need to know about how Hillary will operate as President: there will be no honesty, transparency or truth, ever. Hillary’s bid for the presidency is no longer defensible; it’s time to bring back Bernie Sanders as the Democratic nominee. The issue isn’t Hillary Clinton’s health per se; what is indefensible is her response to legitimate questions of the...

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Negative Yields By Rating, Sector, Country

This will be a mostly charted recap of where exactly in the rabbit hole of negative yielding corp bonds we are following last week’s knee-shaking sale of some brand new negative yielders by non-state owned Henkel and Sanofi. It was a first. It was exciting. From Morgan Stanley, with our emphasis: We estimate that a total of €467bln of EUR IG bonds now have sub-zero yields. Of this, €313bln of bonds are iBoxx...

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