We are sticking to our forecast of 2.0% euro area GDP growth for 2018, but with risks tilted to the downside. Investment is an important driver of the business cycle and a key determinant of potential growth. In the euro area, total investment makes up about 20% of GDP. Construction, machinery and equipment (including weapons systems), intellectual property rights and agricultural products account, respectively, for...
Read More »Credit conditions in the euro area remain supportive of investment recovery
We are sticking to our forecast of 2.0% euro area GDP growth for 2018, but with risks tilted to the downside.Investment is an important driver of the business cycle and a key determinant of potential growth. In the euro area, total investment makes up about 20% of GDP. Construction, machinery and equipment (including weapons systems), intellectual property rights and agricultural products account, respectively, for 48%, 32%, 18% and 2% of total investment. Machinery and equipment spending...
Read More »Some ingredients still missing in euro area recovery
We remain relatively upbeat about euro area growth, but the pressures on banks are a concern, and decisive pro-investment moves remain in abeyance Leaving aside the possible disruptions surrounding the Brexit referendum and other near-term political events, a number of fundamental factors — most notably strengthening domestic demand — mean we are cautiously optimistic about the euro area economy over the short term, with an above-consensus GDP growth forecast for this year of...
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