Tag Archives: Covered interest parity

On Alphaville, Matthew Klein points out that covered interest parity (dollar vs. yen) is alive and kicking again. It wasn’t during much of 2016. The Reserve Bank of Australia exploited the arbitrage opportunity. Previous post on the topic, and another one.

In a BIS working paper, Dagfinn Rime, Andreas Schrimpf, and Olav Syrstad analyze the apparent breakdown of covered interest parity (CIP). They argue that CIP holds remarkably well for most potential arbitrageurs when applying their marginal funding rates. With severe funding liquidity differences, however, it becomes impossible for dealers to quote prices such that CIP holds across the full rate spectrum. A narrow set of global top-tier banks enjoys risk-less arbitrage opportunities as...

In a speech, Hyun Song Shin points out that CIP increasingly fails to hold: the Dollar interest rate implied by FX swaps vis-a-vis the Euro, Yen, Pound or Swiss Franc is “too high.” Moreover, the deviation is negatively correlated with the Dollar’s spot exchange rate: When the Dollar appreciates, the deviation from CIP widens. Shin argues that bank behavior explains the deviation: … the US dollar is used widely throughout the global banking system, even when neither the lender nor the...