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SNB & CHF

Migrant Rape Epidemic Reaches Austria

Submitted by Soren Kern via The Gatestone Institute, A 20-year-old asylum seeker from Iraq confessed to raping a 10-year-old boy at a public swimming pool in Vienna. The Iraqi said the rape was a "sexual emergency" resulting from "excess sexual energy." Those who dare to link spiraling crime to Muslim mass migration are being silenced by the guardians of Austrian multiculturalism. According to data compiled by the Austrian Interior Ministry, nearly one out of three asylum seekers in...

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Great Graphic: Non-Consensus Thinking on Trade

This Great Graphic was posted by Eric Nelson, the managing editor of the Chamber of Commerce’s Above the Fold publication. It shows many of the different components of the 737 single-aisle airplane and where they are sourced.  There is a complex supply chain that stretches from Australia, through Asia (e.g., Japan, South Korea, and China) through Europe (France, Sweden, the UK, and Italy).  It extends into Canada and several US states as well.   Some of the foreign-sourced...

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FX Daily, May 5: Dollar Performance Turns More Nuanced

The US dollar is firm, near the best levels of the week against the euro, yen, and sterling. However, against the dollar-bloc and several actively traded emerging market currencies, including the Turkish lira and South African rand, the greenback has given back some of yesterday’s gains.   Oil is snapping a four-day decline.  News that US output fell by 113k barrels a day last week, the biggest drop in eight months, coupled with a Canadian wildfire that is threatening as much as one...

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Cool Video: Trump and the Dollar–Bloomberg TV

I was invited to discuss the potential impact of a Trump presidency on the US dollar with Bloomberg's with Joe Weisenthal, Oliver Renick, and Alix Steel on "What'd You Miss" show yesterday afternoon, Of course the topic lends itself to all sorts of partisanship.  However, I put aside my own political axes and focused on two potential channels through which could impact the dollar.   The first is through a foreign economic policy that undermines US treaty obligations under various trade...

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Swiss sculptor Giacometti goes digital

Fans of one of Switzerland’s most famous artists, Alberto Giacometti, can now discover the places he knew and loved, with the help of their smartphones. (SRF/swissinfo.ch) --- swissinfo.ch is the international branch of the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC). Its role is to report on Switzerland and to provide a Swiss perspective on international events. For more articles, interviews and videos visit swissinfo.ch or subscribe to our YouTube channel: Website: http://www.swissinfo.ch...

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Political Crisis in Turkey is Not Good for Europe

It has been long recognized by the investment community that power in Turkey was concentrated in Erdogan’s hands.  He enjoys incredible power in the ceremonial presidential post and brooks no rivals. Common among authoritarian leaders they habitually turn on hand-picked successors as they grow fearful of competitors.   This is precisely what has played out in Turkey in recent days and now has come to a head. Prime Minister Davutoglu returned from a trip to Europe and the Middle East to...

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EU Plans $290K Per Person Fine For Countries Refusing “Fair Share” Of Refugees; Angry Response Ensues

As Norway offers cash for refugees to leave, announcing that they won’t be accepting any more refugees from the EU, and Switzerland prepares its military to close down borders, the EU has seemingly had enough of every country acting as if it has any type of sovereignty left. The European Commission has announced that it is going to pull rank on everyone, and in Obama-like fashion, will be fining countries for not taking their fair share of refugees. Here is a detailed summary of all that...

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A Trump Landslide in November?

Objective Reality After spending three weeks with objective truth at the ranch, we are now forced to return to the world of myths, delusions, and claptrap. Yes, we are in Buenos Aires looking at a TV! And there they are… talking about the world of politics, money, culture… the world of Facebook and CNBC… of Trump and Clinton… of ZIRP and NIRP… and of Game of Thrones. Photo credit: HBO The royal seating accommodation fought over in “Game of Thrones”. It looks decidedly uninviting – a...

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EM FX Technical Picture

In light of the Fed’s dovish tilt in March, the global liquidity outlook turned further in favor of EM.  As a result, EM extended the bounce off the January/February lows.  There’s no clear narrative as to why EM is softer this week, but it just seems to be a much-needed correction and positioning flush-out. Bottom line:  a dovish Fed (for now) should limit this sell-off, and the EM rally could resume for a while longer before turbulence returns later this year.  We expect many EM...

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Here Comes The Turkish Flood: EU Commission Backs Visa-Free Travel For 80 Million Turks

Earlier this week we observed that in what may be Europe’s latest mistake, the European Union is about to grant visa-gree travel to 80 million Turks: a key concession that Erdogan obtained as a result of the ongoing negotiations over Europe’s refugee crisis which has pushed Turkey into the key player spotlight. And then, overnight, the European Commission officially granted its support to a visa-free travel deal with Turkey after Ankara threatened to back out of a landmark migration deal....

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