Tag Archives: FX Trends

Summary: FOMC minutes were not as dovish as spins suggest. ECB record was not as dovish as market response appears. Divergence is still intact. First, we told you that the FOMC minutes were not as dovish as the dollar and US Treasury yields may have suggested to many observers. Neither timing of the balance sheet adjustment (Sept announcement) or the odds of a rate hike before year-end changed. The dollar and...

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.06% to 1.1279 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 18(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The second largest drop in US equities this year has spilled over to drag global markets lower. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell nearly 0.5%, snapping a four-day advance and cutting this week’s gain in half. The Dow Jones Stoxx did not...

​ Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.47% to 1.1306 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 17(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ). FX Rates The US dollar had steadied after softening in the North American afternoon yesterday when the dissolution of President Trump’s business councils as a series of executives stepped down. The FOMC minutes added more fuel to the move. The market responded to the minutes by selling the...

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.11% to 1.1398 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 16(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ). FX Rates The Japanese yen and Swiss franc remain heavy as the markets continueto shift away from the geopolitical risks. A return to the macroeconomic agenda is being deterred by new drama from Washington and reports suggesting that ECB’s Draghi will not be discussing the central bank’s...

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.11% to 1.1398 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 16(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The Japanese yen and Swiss franc remain heavy as the markets continueto shift away from the geopolitical risks. A return to the macroeconomic agenda is being deterred by new drama from Washington and reports suggesting that ECB’s Draghi...

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.43% to 1.1397 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 15(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates NY Fed President Dudley appears to have stolen any potential thunder in the July FOMC minutes that will be released tomorrow. While we put more emphasis on today’s US retail sales data and the August Fed surveys, many others argued that the...

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.64% to 1.1425 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The lack of new antagonisms over the weekend between the US and North Korea has prompted the markets to react accordingly.  Already before the weekend, we detected some signs that at least some market participants had begun looking past...

Summary: Economic data due out are unlikely to change macro views. Swiss franc’s price action suggests some return to “normalcy” despite rhetoric remaining elevated. Sterling’s 3.25 cent drop against the dollar looks over.   An escalation of threatening rhetoric by the United States and North Korea emerged as the key driver last week. The US was unable to build on the success it enjoyed at the UN on August 5...

Swiss Franc The euro is up by 0.19% to 1.1348 CHF EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 11(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The downward pressure on US yields, with the 10-year slipping to 2.18%, nearly a two-month low, coupled drop in equities helped underpin the Japanese yen. The dollar traded below JPY109 for the first time since the middle of June. The greenback...

Swiss Franc The euro has depreciated by 0.13%  to 1.1312CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The net impact is to lift the US dollar, yen and gold. The geopolitical tensions saw more profit-taking in equities. Debt markets are little changed, but the US Treasuries area a little firmer. We suspect that like yesterday, North...